What are you backing Today?

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Interesting handicaps at Goodwood tomorrow. The first time in a while I've enjoyed studying the form.

1:50 I fancy a very big run from SEINESATIONAL (each way 33/1 Bet 365) who has a win strike rate of about 30 percent (6/21) in smaller races. He is a horse who knows how to win races, still progressing with a great racing weight. He has good track form at Goodwood, is nine pound better off with another rival in Age Of Wisdom, which epitomises how well handicapped Seinesational is. He might relish the step up in class.


3:00 Jimmy Quinn probably can't believe his luck in training a filly like LIBERTY BEACH (6/4 win, NAP). She's an odds-on chance currently available at odds-against. She'll take some stopping..

Another race, another profit.

Who says Marb don't like favourites!!!!!!!????? :) :) :)
 
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Tricky races tomorrow, I could easily write paragraphs for all the potential winners but have whittled them down.

I fancy The Trader (1:50) in the first who may improve for the gelding operation (if you can forgive the last run); a value price - the betting market may prove quite informative.

Spanish Mission (3:00) has every chance of following up it's last win, while Stone Circle (4:10) looks a big improver for trainer Michael Bell, (a big price on the opening shows too).

Good luck.
 
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Fox Premier (1.50G) is a progressive colt and has won both his 10f starts to date, However, he plainly didn't see out the strongly run 12f of the King George V at Ascot, and reverts to his best distance today.
Worth an e.w. punt at the current 8/1.
 
Fox Premier (1.50G) is a progressive colt and has won both his 10f starts to date, However, he plainly didn't see out the strongly run 12f of the King George V at Ascot, and reverts to his best distance today.
Worth an e.w. punt at the current 8/1.

Reet,

Fox Premier 5/1 was disappointing in the King George V Handicap at Royal Ascot last time and there were no obvious excuses after the race.

We thought he was going there with a big chance, but as we all know, any horse can have an off day. We’re dropping back to 1m2f in this handicap and he’s two from two over the distance which is encouraging.

He’s a very capable horse and we just have to hope he can return to the form of his wins earlier in the season.

Trainer A.Balding
 
Friday's Picks (All E/W)

1:50 - Strong form lines to analyse. I can never underestimate the form of a filly who has placed in a big showcase handicap against the colts and geldings so therefore Solar Gold's second placing in the Bunbury Cup behind Vale of Kent (Admirality back in third) reads very well. That was her career best effort. The forecast price of 16/1 looks well worth getting stuck into each way.

3:00 History Writer (NAP, Each Way) can finish in the first four. He is a right handed specialist so should like Goodwood, was gelded over the winter, then ran a career best at Sandown when winning by two lengths beating some excellent yardsticks. He's still on a very good mark and may have actually been mapped out for this race for a long time.

4:40 Prince Of Arran (NB) has that all important top-class handicap form which you can't underestimate even when comparing it to the group form of other horses. He returns from a break after finishing a fine third in the Melbourne Cup, so I'll take that form to trump the rest of them. He's another huge price who could run into a place against a very short priced odds-on favourite.
 
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John Gosden's long maintained that Angel's Hideaway (1.50G) is a top of the ground filly and she should have her conditions today. After placing in the Guineas and the Jersey she ought to be suited by the drop back to a sharp 7f today. Has the rail draw in stall 1, but has lain up with the pace in better fields than this so it oughtn't be too much of problem for her.
7/1 taken.
 
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Hopefully have saved the best until last for Saturday...:)

3:40 Baron Bolt back in a handicap could be lethal. The blinkers are on, he's been dropped a few pound in the handicap and his Ayr Gold Cup win represents top class form. 20/1 - what a price!!! :

2:25 Desert Skyline back in a good bit of form now and could start much shorter than 12/1.

Good luck
 
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Houtzen ran well for a nice ew, think you tipped it a while back Martin on its first UK run

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I don't remember that Geoff but I'm more than happy to take credit for winners or each ways I shouldn't :)

I see the forum shrewdie-poster Outsider has tipped Blue De Vega in the first.
I remember mentioning that horse last season. He's a positive in the betting. He could definitely win on a going day. He must be on a low mark now I'd have thought. I wrote down King Robert as the one to back each way. Both could outrun the odds.

I'm loaded with cold. Hope you're well.
 
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I don't remember that Geoff but I'm more than happy to take credit for winners or each ways I shouldn't :)

I see the forum shrewdie-poster Outsider has tipped Blue De Vega in the first.
I remember mentioning that horse last season. He's a positive in the betting. He could definitely win on a going day. He must be on a low mark now I'd have thought. I wrote down King Robert as the one to back each way. Both could outrun the odds.

I'm loaded with cold. Hope you're well.

Blue de Vega is last chance saloon tomorrow.actually got 33/1 earlier in week.needed to win at Windsor in the week to get in the main one and didnt perform again.but it's interesting to see young fallon on again.
I dont want to be nasty marb,but I hope Desert skyline dont win as I've put it up for the ebor at a massive price 40s or 50s and he doesnt want a penalty.
This year its £600,000 for the winner in the ebor.
 
Fair enough. See what happens.

I am mentioning one more tomorrow.

Chelmsford 2:10 Queen Of Burgundy. Potentailly very well handicapped and still unexposed. May take advantage of it here. 8/1 early show.
 
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Cheers for the picks, not doing too bad Martin, Vividly the other day more or less paid for the festival (but squandered elsewhere ....)

Outsiders a weighing machine over the long haul, some gems lately, wish I could just stick to those bets on their own. Unfortunately I'm a saturday afternoon and big handicap festival junkie [emoji27] . Just cant do a watching brief, gotta get involved.

Stewards warm up , couldn't let Dark Shot go, the time I dont back him etc.... Count Otto while am at it and a bit of insurance with Puds - it's a 7 place race on SB.

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King Robert too much of a drifter, have jumped ship now. Venturous for me now.
 
Gone for Island Brave each way a 20's as a saver against my main one Desert Skyline.
 
4/1 fav goes in in the Stewards...

Well done to backers even my family members were on it.

Such a short price for the calibre of the race it was though.
 
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7:05 Lingfield - Contingency Fee 10/1 Win

Brian Meehan used to train this one. He's shown a clear preference for a left handed track, now just four pound higher in the weights than when winning at Wolverhampton in April, which was his third win in a row. He was on 66 but the handicapper has done the honours by dropping him one pound. Low mileage on the clock so can put his recent two or three runs well behind him. I fancy he'll return to best form tonight and that will suffice here.
 
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The 6/4 favourite Luke Morris rides in the 7:35 looks a good thing, but that goes without saying! :)
 
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7:05 Lingfield - Contingency Fee 10/1 Win

Brian Meehan used to train this one. He's shown a clear preference for a left handed track, now just four pound higher in the weights than when winning at Wolverhampton in April, which was his third win in a row. He was on 66 but the handicapper has done the honours by dropping him one pound. Low mileage on the clock so can put his recent two or three runs well behind him. I fancy he'll return to best form tonight and that will suffice here.

Nice win, would be dangerous to underestimate next time out too.
 
Kempton 4:45 Point In Time. Win 4/1 (Bet 365) NAP

A 20% win strike rate in racing career, including two all weather wins with one over this course.
Excellent return to form last time and must be backed at these odds to beat the favourite. Money well invested!!!

A 4/1 winner a day is enough to keep the doctor away. :)
 
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Little patent or trixie about to place on Ben Curtis in next three races at Ripon.

Rode an 11/2 winner earlier and could finish this evening with a few more winners.
 
Little patent or trixie on Ben Curtis in next three races at Ripon I am just about to place.

He rode an 11/2 winner earlier and could finish this evening with a few more.
 
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Lost my £7 :(
See what's he on tomorrow, might give him one more chance to ride two or three winners, need to see the odds.

I predicted Oisin Murphy would have a good day once; he just turned professional and was at Andrew Baldings I think he rode four or five winners at Ayr but missed them somehow...

Come on Ben Curtis, you can do it. :)
 
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I think NONIOS 340B 9/2 must have a decent chance tomorrow.finished 3rd to Mandarin and Hats off to Larry who won next time I think and 4th was Rotherwick who was unlucky at goodwood last week.
 
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