At Kempton. Both horses have/had major course biases
Sure I was half winding you up, KA, but I think there's just as much chance of OHO controlling the pace from the front as just blazing away. Jockey bookings for all the Mullins horses will be interesting. For all the discussion, I'm not sure that anyone has said that they're certain that Vautour will stay but I don't think that anyone has come up with a reason to oppose him other than stamina. We're all grown up enough to sink or swim by our own decisions and face the consequences if we're wrong. As I said earlier, for me Vautour wins if he stays and Don Poli wins if he doesn't. Either result will have me in profit. You have looked at Vautour's Ascot and Kempton runs and taken a view. I looked at his pre-Cheltenham runs last season and then the JLT. If he's in the same frame of mind this year, it's easy to see him lobbing along close up at the top of the hill, freewheeling downhill and taking the lead coming round the bend. That's the stage where no-one knows how things will turn out.
Denman: Highest OR (182), Highest RPR (187)
Denman: Highest OR (182), Highest RPR (187)
Smad Place: Highest OR (169), Highest RPR (173)
OHO: Highest OR (162), Highest RPR (168)
I make that about 20lbs (or the best part of two-stone) between Denman and On His Own, and will settle for a stone between Denman and Smad Place.
That would have permitted you one around Smad, rather than the three you used........though those of tender years do tend to get more easily confused, so perhaps that's something to do with it......and maybe the other was because your brother was also confused.
Thankfully, EC understood what was meant, and has provided his usual comprehensive response.
I took an opinion after Ascot late last year that Vautour isn't a gold cup horse. Nothing I've seen or studied from Kempton shows otherwise for me.
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I see.
So 'the best part of' only means 'less than three-quarters of' ratings researched to suit an argument?
And I'm of an age where I'm easily confused? As is my brother (whom you've never met).
In that case I'll do the decent thing and leave others to express their view.
You really are a nasty piece of work.
Read back through the thread Bear & you'll see my reasoning for opposing him. Obviously it's not on Ascot but I will point out many horses at this level come back looking like a pig & still win convincingly. Don Poli himself is one. Mullins would tell you both him & Vautour take most work to get fit in the yard. I'd even have Don Poli's Aintree win on seasonal debut as much more impressive than Vautours.
Overweight or not It was his first race over 20f and that started my line of thinking that his best trip is probably south of that mark (21f). He could end up a bit like Oscar Whiskey. Caught in between distances tho I feel Vautour would be much better over 2m than him.
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KA, are you seriously trying to compare Vautour with Oscar Whisky?
I think you need a lie-down.
I'm really surprised to hear the news that Road To Riches could still go for The Ryanair.
I thought he got the Gold Cup trip really well last year and he was actually my fancy for this year's renewal.
I hate to point out the obvious, but if I can't judge your brother having never met him, you obviously aren't in position to judge me. I do, however, pay attention, and you have been knocking around forums long enough, to betray the fact that you're retired, and have been for a while. It doesn't take a genuis to work out that you would be of a certain age.
You know as well as I do that there was something sneerily implicit in your post. It's as transparent to me as was the the speed with which you couldn't wait to tell me that Great Field would be handicapped out of every Festival race he was entered in, not long after I had put him up and he won his prep.
So, forgive me if my last post upsets your wafer-thin sensibilities, but when push comes to shove, I prefer to have it out when someone is getting on my tits, rather than pussy-foot around. So stick me on ignore or whatever the equivalent is - your tiresome 'elder statesman above the fray' act doesn't interest me in the slightest anyway.
Shocking scenes.
This madness must stop.
Something should be done.
Preferably by someone else.
Rich Ricci on that panel?