Ante-Post Punting Plans/Propositions Thread.

Desert Orchid said:
Only just got round to watching the race again and you're absolutely right. Last early on the far side, he fairly shot clear of those rivals in the final furlong.

He is a must-bet at Ayr.

Edit - just checked and the weights aren't out yet nor is there an ante-post market. Still, he can't go up for yesterday. I suspect he'll be favourite when the weights do come out but he should be at least 10/1 and I can see him going off at 5/2 if he gets there.

When races split as they did yesterday, I tend to rate the two sides as separate races. If the handicapper were allowed to do likewise he'd hit GA with a 9lbs rise.
Click to expand...

Yes, I'd followed up Euro's mention of him straight after Goodwood.

I still think 10/1 is a price worth taking but will hold off until the weights are published in case any bookie has the cojones (or folly) to offer 12s.
 
That's very possible in theory as the only bookies with prices atm are bottom feeders, but if he wins that race again at Newmarket on Saturday I'm not so sure.
'
 
Great Ambassador taken out of both engagements this weekend.

I presume that means full steam ahead for Ayr although it also holds an entry in the Haydock Sprint Cup.
 
Euronymous said:
Surely not going to Haydock. No chance there
Click to expand...


'Outside' rather than 'no', I'd say. I got round the other night to logging up my figures for the Stewards' Cup and his was quite a performance.

As I said at the time, when it comes to races that split wide apart, I usually rate them as two distinct races and mark up the disadvantaged side - sometimes doing so suggests there was no advantage - accordingly. In this case, GA has put up a career best despite meeting trouble in running and emerges a better horse on my ratings than Commanche Falls.

On the other hand, I do suspect the Haydock entry was/is a speculative one in case he won at Goodwood and ended up on a prohibitive mark for Ayr.
 
Last edited:
It's all to do with giving your horse it's best chance to win, the Mullins mantra. He's an 8 or 10s poke for the Ayr race, I would say a fair price for Haydock would be 25s plus. Same with Jumby on Saturday - his trainer has him in the Hungerford (25/1 shot imo) whereas he'd be near enough fav at Ripon.
 
Euronymous said:
I've backed Changingoftheguard in the Voltigeur. He holds the fav and is much better than he showed at Ascot. That was a tough assignment so soon after the Derby.
Click to expand...

Not left in. I mean the fav won a handicap last time out and wasn't even the best horse in the race and Walk of Stars is 4/1. You find a bet and the trainer just fucks you. Appreciate that.
 
ALLIGATOR ALLEY runs tomorrow and is 11/8 in a poor race and I'm wondering if this is to get a penalty or go up in the ratings to get in the SYMPHONY GROUP HCAP at york next wednesday.a £51,000 race to the winner.

So I've took the chance 25/1
 
Euronymous said:
Clipper Logistics 5day out. Pleased to see some 3yos remain.

https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/107/york/2022-08-18/816064/
Click to expand...

Aye I see System is showing blue on oddschecker top price 20/1 now. She could creep in on a light weight and run well. I still don't think we have seen the very best of her yet. She has more scope to improve I reckon.

I know you are sweet on Golden Voice but anyways.
 
Last edited:
Outsider said:
ALLIGATOR ALLEY runs tomorrow and is 11/8 in a poor race and I'm wondering if this is to get a penalty or go up in the ratings to get in the SYMPHONY GROUP HCAP at york next wednesday.a £51,000 race to the winner.

So I've took the chance 25/1
Click to expand...

First part of the plan done.paid for the a/p bets.should get in now.
 
Outsider said:
Ayr gold cup.

Silver samurai 22/1 boosted from 20s w.hill.
Click to expand...


Heritage handicap over 6 at York on Saturday and Botti, incredibly, has the horse in that. I sometimes can't believe the lack of expertise these people have. What is he thinking?

Like Khanjar if he runs. No prices yet.
 
Euronymous said:
Heritage handicap over 6 at York on Saturday and Botti, incredibly, has the horse in that. I sometimes can't believe the lack of expertise these people have. What is he thinking?

Like Khanjar if he runs. No prices yet.
Click to expand...
Silver Samurai has no soft ground form, so why take a gamble on Ayr?
 
Golden Voice doesn't run on Thursday.

I see my fancy Northern Express, 4th behind Fresh the last day runs off the bottom weight. Sticking with him.
 
Back
Top