Mcbirney
Put this up on friday,a farce of a race and the winner was allowed to dictate a slowly run race over 11 seconds slower than standard,mcbirney was coming back after a 2 month lay off after finishing second over 1m 11/2fs at wolves in a respectable time and the quicker of two divisions on the night.
He's now slipped to a nice mark of 65 running on strongly on friday pace against him,only a pound higher than when winning over 1m4fs at wolves april 2011,has shown regressive form this summer was rated 84 in 2011 dropped to 66 as this season went on.These races on the aw are very weak and i'm pretty sure he will win he may even run up a sequence,he's worth a couple of bets on future runs.
king george river 6/1 lads!!Will back again if bigger.
WNice debut run after being sold from o'brien stable running for alan bailey over c/d outpaced for most of the race over tomorrows c/d,then coming back on the bridle when race was over,finishing just behind yaroom in second he looks one to follow.The form through the second horse that day gives him the beating of four of these 6/1 looks massive although a few iof them are open to improvement he probably alongside hipster look the two that stand out long term.The big negative for him again might be like previous race small field and lack of pace,if thats the case it will be against him as he really only picked up in the last 1/2 furlong last time out when the race was over and he was eased.He looks a 3/1 shot to me in this race and looks a nice trade no chance of going off 6/1 with those formlines through yaroom he should be at least jf.He actually beat sugar boy on debut and and that won a listed race by over 6ls on its last run on the turf,he looks one to follow on the aw even if getting beat tomorrow.
It's all price dependant i don't follow them unless i think they're the right price i've put about 15 horses to follow on here and about 8 winners already but quite a few runs ui havn't mentioned them just because of price.I stopped backing desert strike as its form seemed to be getting worse then on the fifth run after i'd stopped backing it,it won.You can only back them for so many runs especially if you can't find legitimate excuses,i missed 11/1 that day on desert strike but i just couldn't back it anymore.Then on the flipside got very lucky yesterday mc birney wins at 20/1 after me putting it on here on second run,but again the night before was 6/1 no chance i wouldv'e backed it at that price.You can only back them on prices,i don't keep following them blind i usually put a line through them unless like today if i was following avonrose i would put a line through that run.