Desert Orchid
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- Aug 2, 2005
- Messages
- 25,024
Anyroads, the consequent free bet has gone on to Royal Scotsman (got 11/8). Not my kind of race or price but I can't fancy anything to beat it.
Fair. But have you seen who does the RPR - it's Rodway.
I do think something funny is going on with Godolphin though, the Blue Trail run I just can't understand. He was very exposed.
Ironically I'm with Noble Dynasty tomorrow and Trawlerman on Saturday (athough he's not an Appleby)
Nice start to the day
Anyroads, the consequent free bet has gone on to Royal Scotsman (got 11/8). Not my kind of race or price but I can't fancy anything to beat it.
Anyroads, the consequent free bet has gone on to Royal Scotsman (got 11/8). Not my kind of race or price but I can't fancy anything to beat it.
Fair. But have you seen who does the RPR - it's Rodway.
First defeat lto - ran well & imp even thouugh he pulled too hard over 12f. Back to 10f today.Where was the form
(By the way, I trust I'm being unbearable to some folk today... :lol
His two wins were in crappy novices that haven't worked out that well. The point is there were horses with far better form claims. That is a fact.
Well, it’s a close call between you and Godolphin
Not "fact", I'd argue. Opinion. As is most interpretation of the form.
Truth, is he improved in the Ascot race (RPR's concur) despite the circumstances, and clearly improved again today.His two wins were in crappy novices that haven't worked out that well. The point is there were horses with far better form claims. That is a fact. He won because he's obviously good and the stable like him hence the Volt entry but the form claims were not there. Like I said, going forward I have to be very wary of Godolphin male horses in handicaps (the special carrots don't seem to work on the fairer sex as they don't have as many competitive fillies) even those who have little actual claims on form.
EDIT: And by form I mean relative to the opposition. Migdam, Assassi and Vee Sight in particular were all progressive and their previous wins had been franked very strongly. The two Godolphin's just didn't have those claims.
Carrots
Form boosts as opposed to let downs in form aren't an interpretation. Prior to the 3 runner affair at Ascot Warren Point's last race was this:
https://www.racingpost.com/results/15/doncaster/2022-06-03/813419
Placed horses since:
2 Liseo - 3 of 5 in a Chelmsford maiden btn 4l
3. Maktoob - 6 of 7 in a Wolves maiden btn 20l+
4. Glen Savage - 4/10 Newm hcap btn 10l
By all means back a horse on stable identity and future entries, there are multiple ways to skin a cat, but claiming he had form claims to justify his odds is just wrong.
Where you getting the 4 places DO?Saturday 2.45 - Forbearance 16/1, 4 places - I have this one joint-top with Sea La Rosa (13/8f) so the each-way to four places is a bit of a no-brainer. It's the type I can see Simon Rowlands putting up tomorrow evening, in which case the price will collapse. You can get 18/1 to three places.
(For those who have faith in RPRs, she's 2lbs clear of the favourite.)
Cheers, can't get on with them unfortunately, but have taken same bet with B365 @ 13/1.Sky Bet