If Pay Freeze was trained by Hannon or O'Brien he'd be 11/4, not 11/2. That York performance was epic. He's a solid bet for me at that price, there's some total crap in behind.
I think the Irish and UK Guineas were very average and whilst the French was crap too, Lucayan does have a reasonably progressive profile and the race hasn't totally proved it was shite yet, 12s is fair I think. Cogito is the other one I like, long been well regarded and I think he's progressing nicely, whilst I take Euro's point about this being full of Group 3 animals, Power aside, the rest have hardly proved themselves as being anything but that themselves so there's an angle which says it's worth taking a chance with the likes of Cogito to improve again at prices around 20/1. Same applies to The Nile but the price has gone a bit. I wouldn't back Most Improved at 50s.
I cannot understand how Little Bridge isn't favourite, he's right up there on RPRs and has shown himself better than ever in recent starts and has beat Bated Breath, he's a staggering price at 12s, it's an absolute gift and he's my bet of the week. I took 16s antepost and I will be topping up, especially as some firms are 1/3 odds or 4 places.
Night Carnation is interesting at 50s, if she regains her sparkle, her form with Deacon Blues is enough to see her sneaking in the frame. The ground is drying out for her and I spoke to someone at Windsor last night who walked it yesterday and he said it was already good. I expect her to run a creditable 6th or 7th!
