The 2015 Crabbies Grand National

Hard to say Len as there really isn't enough evidence.

He seemed to be travelling ok when he came down at Cheltenham not this season but last, though opinions on how well he was going are mixed.

I know where you are coming from with the longer trip but unfortunately in the National they tend to go off very fast and drag the whole field with them

If that creates a situation where everything is going a yard faster than they should, the horses that suffer most are those that can't act on the ground

He has the class to overcome that initially and keep in touch but when the chips are down over the last 4 fences you better make sure you can act on the surface

When betting it's a risk you either are willing to take or not.......Not a horse to back AP imo because if the ground is fast he's sure to drift because of the unknown factor.
 
I pretty much agree with Tanlic when he says how the National is usually run. That said surprisingly it's usually a horse that's prominent when they start of the second circuit that wins. It's not a race that an out and out hold up horse usually wins. Many Clouds likes to be prominent and most have him down as an out an out stayer, but there's something about him for me that makes me think he'll run out of petrol when one or two are still running on.

All of that said about hold up horses, Paul Maloney seems to specialise in having a (Rucker) horse out with the washing staying out of trouble, only for it to run on for a place from an impossible position. I haven't checked, but I reckon you could have backed him blind for a place for the last six or seven years and made a tidy profit.
 
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Hoping The Rainbow Hunter can have a little more luck this time around and stand up. He has a nice racing weight and if he can stay on his feet might just get competitive at a big price.

Obviously Rocky Creek will still win though ;)
 
Been an awful lot of rain up here over the last few days. Metcheck shows more ran tomorrow then a few days of sunshine with no rain. The one good thing is the course drains really well so hopefully perfect ground.
 
After Sean Bowen's recent performance and now qualifying for a ride there's a Nash story in the making so couldn't help backing Mon Parrain @ 40s
 
With Sam Winners defection I count it to be Royale Knight who's now effectively number 40. 5 day decs are due tomorrow aren't they?

If my remedial maths is correct then Broadway Buffalo is 3 away from a run with Gallant Oscar & Goonyella needing 7 or 8 more to come out. All would be of interest if they get in.
 
Hadrian Approach likely to miss the race...........wrapped a joint.........more like wrapped a joint and smoked it...by pure coincidence NJH said last year he's not a national type I would want to run him in that :)0 he's a funny fella.

He'll go to Sandown no doubt along with the biggest comeback since Aldaniti and Bob Champion.........Sprinter Sacre and Barry Geraghty. :blink:
 
I backed Soll the other yr for a place, ran well. Broken blood vessels puts me off now. Done Druids & Alvarado when the weights came out, but have doubts about both now. Added Gas Line Boy & Corrin Wood for places. That's it for me, tho Balthazar has slipped under the radar...
 
When you look at how many mistakes PDR made last year on the way to winning it makes me think it was a pony of a renewal and that a horse that didn't contest the race will win it this time around (even though I've done Rocy Creek)
 
5/1 - 13/2 Inclusive
11/10
9/2 or Lower
15/8
7/1 or Above
9/4

PP's market on what SP Shutthefrontdoor will go off at .

I had a bit on 9/2 or less,the money came at Cheltenham on his last ride and that was without all the once a year punters.
 
The official Grand National reserves: R1) Baileys Concerto, R2) Duke Of Lucca, R3) Raz De Maree, R4) The Package.

Will replace NRs if any before 9am Fri
 
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