The 2022 Longshot Thread

Outsider said:
Sandringham. 1m fillies GATECRASHER GIRL 20/1
Duke of Edinburgh FORZA ORTA 20/1
Queen mary CARMELA 20/1
Royal hunt cup INTELLOGENT 25/1..................2nd 40/1 went in again at 60 on the machine
Buckingham palace hcap TACTICAL 25/1 coral

Wokingham NOMADIC EMPIRE 40/1
I SUMMERGHAND 25/1
MASTER MATT 40/1

St James palace CHECKANDCHALLENGE 50/1
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Desert Orchid said:
Reappears in the Chookie Embra on Friday, which might explain that modest run, for which he's been dropped another 3lbs to 97. The stable is in flying form and he won a decent Class 2 off 105 in July 2019. If he's here I presume he's in good form at home. I've gone in again at 66/1. If he lengthens or place terms improve by Friday I might go in again.
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I've added Ajero 25/1, boosted to 28s, 5 places and BOG. Could be totally unexposed on the Flat and has hit a nice curve over hurdles.
 
Outsider said:
I've always thought that high numbers were best and a lot of the ones I like are drawn low but at least Jamie BLESS HIM is drawn high.

Because of the draw BLESS HIM is my main bet now.
I can imagine my nerves as I will be screaming at the tv as he tries to weave through.lol.
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Managed 7th and bet 365 paid 7 places. Not one of Jamies finest rides.
 
It's the way he rides these big fields. He assumes the pace will collapse.

He's a fanny.

Tempus just about covered my each-way shots but Legend Of Dubai went out like a light. I should have taken a profit.
 
Britannia - Claim The Crown 100/1 - ran in G3 Somerville Tattersall last year and not beaten far in a French G3 before that. Not sure what the jockey situation is at Varian's but Egan rides this one while the trainer has a 28/1 shot in the race. One poor run this season requires forgiving but Varian doesn't strike me as the type to run them just because they'll make the cut. Oh, and it went better than Bayside Boy (Egan) in a gallop last week and that one didn't run badly in the SJP.
 
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Ascot 5.00

A horse who has been racing freely in Ireland and so might be suited by a faster pace and proper big field is Fiach Mchugh. He seems to have improved a fair bit since being gelded, and while the Racing Post state the form of his last win might not be the strongest, he was second to an Aidan O Brien horse called Ivy League the time before, who went on to finish second in a group three race and now rated 106. So a rating of 96 for Fiach Mchugh seems reasonable. He will need to be on a steep upward curve but I can't rule out that he has been targetted at this race, so some market support might be a good sign. I guess I will have to pay to find out.
 
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barjon said:
Hunt Cup - it really is a needle in a haystack job, but I quite like Sinjaari 20/1 who I thought ran a good race at Newbury last time and he gets a hard mile with ease since he usually goes a bit longer.
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Sinjaari ran ok into 5th @ 14/1 sp despite being knocked off balance which I don’t think made much difference.

Approaching the final two furlongs HUMANITARIAN, unplaced, shifted right-handed creating a gap in which HORTAZADAR, unplaced, went for a tight but legitimate run and in the process made brief contact with SINJAARI (IRE), unplaced, which became unbalanced.

In the Britannia tomorrow Jimi Hendrix 25/1 ran a cracker last time at Haydock coming from last place 2 furlongs out to win going away. Up in class for this and a big ask, but it was only his fourth run and he is progressive.
 
Friday, Sandringham Hcap - Minwah 50/1, 6 places - thinking a wee bit laterally here. Haggas has two in the race in Persist 12/1 tops and blue, and Morgan Fairy, 40s tops but blue and shorter generally. Marquand could probably do the weight on the former if it had a really serious chance but not the latter. So why is he allowed off to ride Minwah, a recruit from the Middle East having her first run for Marco Botti, who is no mug. I'm curious as much as anything else, and enough to back up the hunch with a small bet.
 
.[/I][/B]

In the Britannia tomorrow Jimi Hendrix 25/1 ran a cracker last time at Haydock coming from last place 2 furlongs out to win going away. Up in class for this and a big ask, but it was only his fourth run and he is progressive.[/QUOTE]

There will be a Purple Haze over Ascot if this comes in BJ.
 
swedishchef said:
2.30 Ascot - Thunder Moor 25/1 Why Is Tudhope riding this and not Pillow Talk?
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K Burke implies the owners wished to avoid Dramatised,and they'll be delighted if she manages to place.
It seems DT has been given the option of riding the one with a better chance.
 
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Another pop at the Britannia - Sed Maarib 80/1 - the time before last was a good second to Nations Pride at Meydan. Next time out Nations Pride smashed up Hoo Ya Mal at Newmarket. That form obviously can’t be taken literally but it’s enough for me to want to have him onside at that price, with his usual Meydan jockey coming over for the ride and a stands side draw.
 
I have gone for Redemption Time in that first race. He's showing as a market mover now.
 
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It wouldn’t surprise me if this time last year I’d written ‘please remind me to just watch Royal Ascot next year and not have any bets’. And if I didn’t I should have. I’m having a torrid time.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Britannia - Claim The Crown 100/1 - ran in G3 Somerville Tattersall last year and not beaten far in a French G3 before that. Not sure what the jockey situation is at Varian's but Egan rides this one while the trainer has a 28/1 shot in the race. One poor run this season requires forgiving but Varian doesn't strike me as the type to run them just because they'll make the cut. Oh, and it went better than Bayside Boy (Egan) in a gallop last week and that one didn't run badly in the SJP.
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Believe it or not, I've gone in again on this one at 500 on the exchange and 17.5 to five places. Taking advantage of their minimum stakes!
 
The fav could be different class in the Buckingham Palace but Dance Fever gets his ground and a strong pace to run at so have taken 25/1 7 Places in the hope high numbers aren’t disadvantaged with so many fancied runners being drawn low.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Thursday, KGV Hcap - Flying Dolphin 20/1, 6 places - Murtagh had a devastating handicap winner last year when Create Belief blew the Sandringham apart off 97 before going on to win a G3 (rated 110) so he isn't averse to getting them here totally under the radar. The chances are this is a decent one. It's more trainer study than form study but I want it onside anyway!
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Not at all impressed by that ride :mad:

Should have won by clear daylight.
 
Saturday 5.35 - Splendent 20/1, 6 places - Connections won this with their only previous runner and seasonal debutant Highland Chief (20/1) so I'm guessing this one has improved enough through the winter to fancy their barra here. Ben Curtis is an interesting booking.
 
In the Britannia tomorrow Jimi Hendrix 25/1 ran a cracker last time at Haydock coming from last place 2 furlongs out to win going away. Up in class for this and a big ask, but it was only his fourth run and he is progressive.[/QUOTE]

Good 3rd BJ.i followed thanks.
 
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