I'll get this in quick, no time to write up right now ...Roma Bangkok 3.30 Perth Sunday 25-1 Bet3 Prices just gone up (it's 16s with Hills). Could go either way but 25s is fair enough as a start point.
Well, this turned out to be a little too early. Opened (a realistic) 40-1 with most others, and those have remained stable overnight. Hills have doubled, Bet365 remain the same. It's possible they could all go 66 before we get the race.
The current prices (I believe) are purely based on two of these finishing well in front of RB in a similar Perth race about 3 weeks ago. RB went into that race off a year layoff, I have to assume some sort of injury although it's possible Barnes was thinking he'll let the horse grow up a bit ready for some summer handicaps this year. Appeared to travel well in that comeback till around 3 out and may not be surprising that he wasn't able to sustain it from the 3rd last.
Stable going well enough. My MachoMan ran ok enough a week ago against 2 Irish horses that could well be contesting Class 3 handicaps this summer, Dolly Dancer won yesterday, Oishin ran (I would say) his best race ever yesterday in a race where he had zero chance (shouldn't have been within 80 lengths of the winner), St Arvans won a week ago.
Worries:
Perth? Novice hurdle win was at Sedgefield. But I couldn't see anything wrong with the jumping in the Perth race a few weeks ago.
Ground? There was a bit of soft at Sedgefield. You can see the turf kicking up on the video replay. I've been watching Perth all week in preparation for this. Not aware of any major rain, but think they have been watering. I'm guessing this could put the ground in a similar state to that Sedgefield novice.
The others? Not a bad bunch, but equally no obvious standouts. A number could improve. It certainly won't be a surprise to see a few go well and RB will have to be something to win. 25s would have been enough for me to find out, 40-1 is great news. 66-1 bring it on. 100, sell the house!
That novice win left me feeling he could be up to one or two reasonably competitive handicaps at some point. (I may be slightly biased of course - it was squeaky bum time for me in the last 50 yards of that novice win)....
https://www.racingpost.com/results/57/sedgefield/2021-05-11/782485
If he's ready, then with another year on his back, this might be the only time to get these type of odds again.