3.50 Lingfield tomorrow looks a tight little handicap on paper and they bet 5/2 the field. Ilissos is a horse that has popped up with "lay" next to his name a couple of times on this thread in his short racing career and has been a well backed (and beaten) favourite on his last 3 runs. He travelled well on the last occasion but wasn't able to match the winners turn of foot as they turned into the home straight, beaten 2 1/4L, conceding him 8lb.
We get a formline with the overnight favourite Twin Soul through the winner that day, as TS beat Blue Cossack on his last start. Twin Soul beat BC by a length, conceding him 4lb. Twin Soul was an impressive winner that day, and was never going to concede the lead to BC, holding him all the way to the line.
Interestingly, Blue Cossack pops up in another formline involving these runners, as he was runner-up to the Gosden horse Songjiang, beaten a comfortable length and a half, receiving 13lb. Songjiang had previously beaten Ilissos a comfortable 2 1/2L off level weights.
What can we deduce from this? Well having seen Ilissos in action, I wouldn't be trusting him with my cash, even with the Champion Jockey on board tomorrow. He appears like a horse who will struggle to get his head in front on the faster AW tracks, in races around this trip some form of turn of foot is essential - perhaps he should try his luck at Southwell...
Of the other runners, George Woolf & Mrs Neat were seperated by a head when they met over 10f recently, Mrs Neat is weighted to come out on top this time, but they may be battling out for minor honours here. The only other runner is Baileys Agincourt who was disappointing last time at Southwell and may be outspeeded if making the pace tomorrow.
Twin Soul is a confident selcetion for me tomorrow and was surprised by the 5/2 on offer, I could see him going off at 7/4 or shorter.
Later on the card, John Gosden seems to have been picking off the odd AW race in the last month, having the odd runner who has taken the prize on 4 of 6 occasions, Judgement looks to be another who will run well in the 5.00.