What are you backing Today?

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Nice one, Rob.:cool:

Annecdote (2.10) should laugh at the 3lb turnaround with Winning Express, whom she beat going away lto even after ceding her a start. Should also have too much speed for Maureen, and at Hill's current 11/2, looks well worth a bet
 
Annecdote is one of a small number of horses that I have been prepared to follow over a cliff this year and she has made a major contribution to my finances at very good prices.
Not easy tomorrow but given a truly run race and what she's done I'm already partially loaded up and will add more tomorrow.
 
OLNEY LASS 5.20 CHEPSTOW

This may well be the last time Olney lass will be able to run in a 0-60 for a while. She left a similar field in her wake off this mark last week in an apprentice race and off the same mark she has to be supported. All her wins have come in class 6 but her record over 7f in class 6 reads 5-8. She loves this track, won here a year ago, and has spent the summer running in a better grade. Just the two runs in class 6 over 7f this season and she has won both. She has her ideal conditions and is 4-5 in September.

Viennese Verse is a four race maiden who showed his best form in a 0-55 at Southwell last time. This is tougher and off the same mark he may struggle against his elders. He was in front rank last time and that is not ideal today with two trail blazers in the field. Henry Candy is currently 1-18 with the winner a long odds on shot. He is 0-32 in handicaps at Chepstow.

Monsieur Pontaven is 3-44 overall and 0-14 on good or slower ground. He is 0-6 on undulating tracks. He finds 7f too short for him these days and needs 8f on polytrack to show his best form. It is three years since he won turf, 0-18 since.

Dancing Welcome made all on his last visit here when winning a 0-55. However, he is 0-13 with jockeys claiming 5lbs or 7lbs and 1-25 with any claiming jockey on board.

Two No Bids won the stands side race last time in a 0-60 when second to Pearl Queen. That was his first sign of form on turf. He remains 0-7 on the grass but the hint last time suggested he could win one of these. That form was on good to firm and he has never placed in four runs on good ground.

Loraine is a ten race maiden and is 1lb worse off for finishing 4ls behind Olney Lass last time. She will do well to turn the tables.

Compton Prince is a 14 race maiden. He was third on his racecourse debut at Wolverhampton and looks to have lost interest since. His third in a maiden handicap off 65 over this track would suggest he would have a chance off 58. He probably will pick a race up this winter.

Cheers Big Ears is an 18 race maiden who is 0-9 over 7f and 0-5 at Chepstow. However, his one place was over this course and distance off a mark 46 and he is modest. Richard Price is 0-27 since July.

George Benjamin won over this course and distance in June of 2012 off a mark of 73 when with Milton Bradley. He moved to Chris Kellett later that month and his mark has dropped from 79 to 53. The closest he has got to a win this season on turf is a 7l 7th of 17. Kellett has saddled one winner from his last 100 runners, that was back in March at Southwell and his last winner on grass was in 2008, 0-63 since.

Seraphiel is yet to place in six outings and get within 9ls of the winner. Chris Down is 2-70 on the flat turf with his last win in 2010.

Conclusion: Lydia Pearce could be accused of hand picking this opposition for Olney Lass. There are some right dodge pots in the field. Olney Lass prefers to be held up but she is pretty adaptable regarding tactics. Dancing Welcome and Two No Bids should make the running with Viennese Verse and that should set it up for her. She has perfect conditions and she should take some beating in this field.
 
Pilates, 4.35 Epsom.

I have had a filthy each way bet on this at 11-4.

Very impressive last time and the second has won since. Should handle the track having won at Brighton.

I am surprised this isn't 6-4.
 
Regardez 1.55 Chepstow 9/4

Ran in a seriously hot maiden in Goodwood first time up and wasn't disgraced. I can see her winning this comfortably today before moving up the ranks.
 
1 Fairway To Heaven 4.25 Doncaster
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 12/09/2013 3 Places
1/4 Odds 7/2 To Run

2 Conduct 5.00 Doncaster
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 12/09/2013 3 Places
1/5 Odds 7/2 To Run

3 Zaraee 2.40 Doncaster
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 12/09/2013 4 Places
1/4 Odds 14/1 To Run

4 George Benjamin 5.20 Chepstow
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 12/09/2013 3 Places
1/5 Odds 11/1 To Run

5 Balady 5.50 Chepstow
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 12/09/2013 4 Places
1/4 Odds 25/1 To Run

6 Star Pearl 6.30 Wolverhampton
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 12/09/2013 3 Places
1/5 Odds 10/3 To Run

7 Intomist 4.35 Epsom Downs
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 12/09/2013 3 Places
1/5 Odds 14/1 To Run

8 Azrag 4.00 Epsom Downs
(Win and Each Way)
Live Stream 12/09/2013 3 Places
1/4 Odds 7/2 To
 
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5.10 Bangor-Tony Dinozzo

Each Way @ 7-1 [Boylesports] BOG

Could be thrown in off this weight if jumping better
 
Cambourne scoots home at Doncaster, but Billy Buick diverts to Sandown to ride Breden (3.o5).
The hint should be taken,
 
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I won't be following you in Reet. I suspect Camborne wasn't that strongly fancied and the race fell in his lap.
 
Steps (Portland) is an improved horse this year and has run some cracking races on ground that wouldn't have been in his favour. That's not the case today, and though he's only an average draw, as a hold-up horse, WB should be able to work him toward the stand rail.
Laddy's 10/1 (ew 5 places) looks sure to return a dividend.
 
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My local stable think De Repente will run a big race in the Chester nursery (3-30). She`ll handle the course, will love the going, and has the early pace to take advantage of her good draw. Fill ya boots:).
 
WHITEFALL 2.30 LINGFIELD

Whitefall has been running well on soft ground and this drop back to 10f after running well in a 0-70 over 12f looks an ideal opportunity. She led at the two furlong pole that day and just gave best inside the final furlong. Before that she had run two races in two days in better races than this. She was third to Unison in 0-65 which was good form considering the winner was dropping down from 0-75. She then made her way to Chepstow and got off the mark in another 0-65 where she just had to be driven out to win comfortably. That form has been franked with the fifth winning a hurdle race and placing again on the flat and the sixth winning a 0-60. She has her ideal conditions.

Ana Shababiya looks the main danger. She raced keenly in a 0-60 last time, leading and clear at 5f out; she hung on grimly in the closing stages. She is in effect up 8lbs here as Thomas Brown had taken a handy 3lbs off. That was her first sign of form and the underfoot conditions are very different today. She is a half sister to Be Ready and by Teofilio so the ground shouldn’t present problems.

Sutton Sid is 0-7, never placed, on turf. He hasn’t shown much for Chris Gordon and both his all weather wins were in sellers.

Hawaiian Dream has had 7 races and just placed in one. Her best form is on the all weather and has yet to encounter soft ground. This is her easiest assignment to date and the booking of Hughes takes the eye, 2-12 for the yard. Teal is 0-6 in 3yo handicaps on turf here.

Lucilla has never been in the frame in six outings and has shown nothing in three runs for Stuart Williams. This distance is right on the limit for the progeny of Holy Roman Emperor.

Prairie Prince has had three runs in maidens. Upped to 13f last time he finished 19ls behind the winner. That followed defeats over 7f of 20ls and 22ls. He may well improve but it would be a leap of faith to support him.

East Texas Red has one win from 16 races. He was backed from 25/1 into 5/1 in July in a 0-60 off 60. He ran reasonably well that day on firm ground. He is now 0-10 for Mick Quinn who is 1-70 in 2013 and 1-83 stretching back to November of last year.

Conclusion: Ana Shababiya should get an easy time out in front but she is headstrong and the 8lbs penalty may well anchor her. Whitefall drops in class, can race just off the pace and will find this much easier than the 0-70 she contested last time. She looks a decent bet.
 
Not doing too well at Donny. My bet of the meeting, Annecdote, was not up to level I'd hoped.
Hopefully my second meaningful punt, on Our Jonathan 2.40, will fare better. An old favourite, he is weighted back at a level at which he was capable of winning top races and has conditions to suit. Has changed hands and may well be not what he was but even at this morning's prices, which are well down on last night's levels, he is imo a worthwhile bet.
 
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Good Luck All

3.00 Curragh-Kiss The Stars

Each Way @ 12-1 [Bet 365] BOG

She Looks a contender with this low weight
 
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