What are you backing Today?

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Dhaular Dhar in the penultimate race at Musselburgh tomorrow.

Hosed up over hurdles last week. Been running at around a mile on the flat but clearly needs further. This mile and a half should suit much better. He's fit, in form, and VC's 17-2 will do well each way.
 
Dhaular Dhar in the penultimate race at Musselburgh tomorrow.

Hosed up over hurdles last week. Been running at around a mile on the flat but clearly needs further. This mile and a half should suit much better. He's fit, in form, and VC's 17-2 will do well each way.

NR
 
6.00 Wolverhampton

Midnight Bahia ...9.0 on BFair

Winston has very few rides for Ivory..has won 2 on sirius prospect..his record is 4/9 overall..big profit.

MB needs a strong pace which should get here and has little to beat in this
 
jockey bookings always let me down...ran shocking

I backed Divea win only on basis she would improve for trip/going, to see her fly home at the end.

I then took a look at the winners sire stats on st/slow after the race to find:

3/12 +109.00. 5 others managed to place.

Must try harder.
 
OLYMPIAN BOY 5.35 STRATFORD

Olympian Boy has been found a suitable opportunity for his first run of the season. He ended last season with probably his best when 4thof 6th but just beaten 3.25ls in a 0-125 at Sandown. Paul Moloney gave him far too much to do that day and he just couldn’t reel the leaders in. The handicapper has been kind and dropped him 2lbs for that which means he squeezes into this 0-115. The winner of that race, Greywell Boy, went on to finish second to Fairy Rath in a 0-140 off 4lbs higher. Fairy Rath won again in a 0-145. In his previous race Olympian Boy won a 0-130 off 108. He carries a big weight here, 11-12; he has won a 0-110 with the same weight. He has won on the ground and this looks to be the perfect distance as he’s won over 18f before. He has won after a break of 120 days before so he shouldn’t need the run. Jason Maguire replaces Paul Moloney which is interesting as Moloney has a ride in the race. However, Maguire is a positive booking as his record for Sophie Leech since the start of last year reads; 2212P13P17.

Julie Prince made all the other day to win a 0-100 to register his first win in a first time tongue tie. He beat Novikov, trained by Sophie Leech, 5ls and it probably would have been closer but for Novikov’s horrendous mistake at the last. Julie Prince was previously third beaten 15ls when favourite for a 0-105. Lightly raced over the larger obstacles he has scope and McCoy is booked. The horse has never placed in seven races going left handed. He is 8lbs higher and up in grade.

Giant O Murchu won a 0-115 over course and distance last time off 106 and is 9lbs higher today. That was his first win for over a year which was over this course and distance off 107. He is 0-7 off marks above 107 never placing. The cheekpieces may well have brought some improvement and Aidan Coleman keeps the ride. He has to improve and this is tougher. He is 0-5, never placed, on good to soft or slower.

Catch Tammy won a 4 runner maiden chase at Towcester in May and has shown nothing in two handicaps since off a mark of 112. His overall record reads 0-7 in this grade. His sole win came after almost a year off. He has never placed in four races when returning to the track inside a month.

Rime Avec Gentil was pulled up in a Beginners Chase in 2011 and won a point to point in May of last year. He won two handicap hurdles off 100 and 107 in May of this year and has run well off marks around 110. That would suggest he should be thereabouts. Bernard Llewellyn has had 11 winners from 132 runners in handicap chases, the last winner was in April of 2012 and 25 have lost since. He is 0-5, none placed, with horses making their handicap chase debut for him. Paul Moloney has only ridden twice for the yard, unplaced both times.

Cruise In Style was beaten 8ls in a 0-100 off 98 two runs back. She is 0-11 going left handed though her best form is at Worcester. She has placed in three of her five chases but she was last of 8 in a 0-110 last time. In her career she is 0-5 in races where the highest rated horse is above 110.

Bobbits Way has pulled up in 9 of his 13 starts including his last four. His best form is a 2l 2nd in a selling hurdle in January and in four chases he has pulled up three times and was beaten 9ls in the other when 4th of 7 in a 0-100. He was actually second favourite for that race. He finished lame last time out and is 2lbs out of the handicap.

Conclusion: Julie Prince is likely to attempt to make all here but he will have company with Bobbits Way, Rime Avec Gentil, Cruise In Style and Giant O Murchu all liking to race prominently. This should set the race up for the hold up horses, Catch Tammy and Olympian Boy. There are enough negatives to oppose Catch Tammy and Olympian Boy should be able to pick this lot off as this is the easiest assignment he has had for a while.
 
I have been tempted to have my first real bet of the jumps season in the bumper at Stratford , can't see how the McManus jolly can give Mrs Jordan a stone, after the 2-/2 hours of heavy rain. 7/2 with Bet365 to hard to resist.
 
Think that Shrewd has a very good chance in the 4.00 Yarmouth, wasn't given a hard race at Ascot lto when held up at the back and couldn't really get a clear run but still wasn't beaten far in that class 2 h'cap.
This easier ground should suit having won 3 races on soft/heavy last year and Bell has booked L Steward to ride to take off another 7lbs, Bell used to do really well here in 2010/2011 winning with 1-3 horses but hasn't fired here recently.
This looks a nice consolation race for him. I thought Thomas Hobson looked beaten lto before the 2nd weakened close home and this is 2fs further, Battalion won his maiden very easily but this is quite a step up, waiting for the Shrewd money to come.
 
Think that Shrewd has a very good chance in the 4.00 Yarmouth, wasn't given a hard race at Ascot lto when held up at the back and couldn't really get a clear run but still wasn't beaten far in that class 2 h'cap.
This easier ground should suit having won 3 races on soft/heavy last year and Bell has booked L Steward to ride to take off another 7lbs, Bell used to do really well here in 2010/2011 winning with 1-3 horses but hasn't fired here recently.
This looks a nice consolation race for him. I thought Thomas Hobson looked beaten lto before the 2nd weakened close home and this is 2fs further, Battalion won his maiden very easily but this is quite a step up, waiting for the Shrewd money to come.

Poor ride from Louis Steward. Not saying he'd have beaten the winner but should've been second.
 
Oisin Murphy looks a good amateur jockey, just scored with Peak Storm... 2 more good rides in the next two races, I think they might both win & I reckon there could be a treble on the cards at Chepstow.

4:50 Princess Caetani
5:20 Be My Rock

Good luck Oisin hope it is a day to remember winners-wise.:)
 
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Oisin Murphy looks a good amateur jockey, just scored with Peak Storm... 2 more good rides in the next two races, I think they might both win & I reckon there could be a treble on the cards at Chepstow.

4:50 Princess Caetani
5:20 Be My Rock

Good luck Oisin hope it is a day to remember winners-wise.:)

Good shout. Backed both so far - a jockey to follow.
 
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Cheers Benny.......not meant to be the last one, SJ.

Murphy rides one tomorrow in the last race at Beverley. Horse has no recent form but consistently being dropped down in grade, and nothing else has much recent form either to be fair.

Worth a market-watch.
 
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I have been tempted to have my first real bet of the jumps season in the bumper at Stratford , can't see how the McManus jolly can give Mrs Jordan a stone, after the 2-/2 hours of heavy rain. 7/2 with Bet365 to hard to resist.

Chalk It Down a non-runner but Mrs Jordan still went off a generous looking 7/4, hope you backed her.
 
I have been tempted to have my first real bet of the jumps season in the bumper at Stratford , can't see how the McManus jolly can give Mrs Jordan a stone, after the 2-/2 hours of heavy rain. 7/2 with Bet365 to hard to resist.

Good picking...pity the fav pulled out
 
Given his run behind Gordon Lord Byron on heavy ground in the Foret last year, his effort giving weight to Gregorian on g/s at Epsom in June and the fact that his main rival today has no form on soft ground I think it's fair to say that Penitent has a cracking chance in the 3.55 at Sandown. Wentworth is a nice horse but there's a sniff of hype about him.
 
QUANTITIVEEASING won a grade 3 at Cheltenham in 2011 good 2nd in Galway plate 7lbs better off with Carlingford Lough.
A kildare trainer is quoted as saying when asked for one for Listowel this was the one!!!
 
Great call Euronymous, like you say fantastic sp.


NO POPPY 4.10 AYR

No Poppy has turned up at Ayr, not in the race she was second in last year but in a race Tim Easterby has the following form figures over the last five years; 11261. He also won the race in 2004. No Poppy is 5lbs lower than her last win a year ago and she showed she handled this track a year ago despite being 1-23 going left handed. She was made favourite for a race at Thirsk last time but that looks like it was a prep to get her cherry ripe for this, all seven of her wins have come when returning to the track inside 20 days.
 
Ayr 4.40 - Spanish Duke

Has a string of deeply disappointing runs to forgive but the same yard's Beaumont's Party is 8/1 in the race yet the stable jockey rides the selection who is available at 28/1. I can't help thinking the Duke is due to pop up some day and is ridiculously well handicapped if it happens. He's off 85 here having been rated 105 at his peak. He'd probably need the win here to get into the Cambridgeshire. Anyway, I'm just curious that Swift is sticking with him when the other one has far better form this season. I've got a saver on Hi There.
 
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