What are you backing Today?
- Thread starter On The Bridle
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EC1
On a break
cheers..strange ride on Incendo for a horse that won from the front in this last year..i wouldn't choose to face that kickback ..it looks harsh
Tout Seul
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- May 2, 2003
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- 2,628
Four horses that I had noted to follow run today at Ascot. I've backed all four in ew singles and a small yankee.
Brocklebank won for me on penultimate start at Epsom on soft and did not receive the best ride LTO. Should handle ground and attracts @ 14/1.
Credit Swap, an old favourite, carried my money when he won the Cambridgeshire and was ready for a renewal this year (missed the cut). Limited runs but with either draw or firm ground against him has been unfortunate. Comes here ready, low mark, favourable ground and has a good chance @ 12/1
This ain't the Cambridgeshire!
Pearl Sea ran well LTO coming second burdened by my support. A similar showing could prove profitable, again on favoured surface. 12/1
Finally I was impressed by Brownsea Brink LTO at Newmarket, showing a great attitude. With Moore riding this time I feel she can maintain her current good form over a furlong less. 8/1
Brocklebank won for me on penultimate start at Epsom on soft and did not receive the best ride LTO. Should handle ground and attracts @ 14/1.
Credit Swap, an old favourite, carried my money when he won the Cambridgeshire and was ready for a renewal this year (missed the cut). Limited runs but with either draw or firm ground against him has been unfortunate. Comes here ready, low mark, favourable ground and has a good chance @ 12/1
This ain't the Cambridgeshire!
Pearl Sea ran well LTO coming second burdened by my support. A similar showing could prove profitable, again on favoured surface. 12/1
Finally I was impressed by Brownsea Brink LTO at Newmarket, showing a great attitude. With Moore riding this time I feel she can maintain her current good form over a furlong less. 8/1
davidjohnson
At the Start
- Joined
- Jun 29, 2007
- Messages
- 3,434
Think Rebellious Guest looks worth a little play in the 2.00 Ascot. Come down plenty in the weights since a 2-y-o and definite signs of resurgence at Yarmouth last night under Mackay, pulling off a steady pace, meeting trouble, and running on under tender handling in the closing stages. Down another 3 lb since to sneak into this 0-85.
Dabadiyan (3.40) is still improving, and was an intended runner in the Leger until pulled at the 5 day stage.
Ran well when given a hold-up ride over an inadequate trip at Dundalk (which can only have a been a work-out to ensure he still had a leg in each corner), and ought to prove much too classy for these.
Ran well when given a hold-up ride over an inadequate trip at Dundalk (which can only have a been a work-out to ensure he still had a leg in each corner), and ought to prove much too classy for these.
edgt
Senior Jockey
Looks like an Irish 1-2 with Dark Crusader still improving reet.
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FrogTheBountyMuncher
Guest
Levi Draper, Emilio Largo, Victors Beach, Paene Magnus, Malaysian Boleh, Ballindeery Boy.
swedish chef
At the Start
Font 4.25 Royal Native 4pts win - expected to run well in staying races this season - may need todays race? from Jumping Prospects.
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FrogTheBountyMuncher
Guest
Boom Ballinderry Boy!!
Simpson Jersey
At the Start
- Joined
- Jan 4, 2012
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- 1,219
Amazing how the horse drifted last night, money came for it tonight!
EC1
On a break
typical isn't it?
i'm having a bit on these 3 tonight
7.55 Reminisce 32.0 taken
7.55 Malaysian Noleh14.0 taken
8.25 Jayeff Herring 7.0 taken
i'm having a bit on these 3 tonight
7.55 Reminisce 32.0 taken
7.55 Malaysian Noleh14.0 taken
8.25 Jayeff Herring 7.0 taken
Ascription (3.50) faces an 11lb rise for his facile lto win, but has the ground very much in his favour,and will improve anyway for the drop back to a stiff 7.
He's been 'pricewised' though, so good luck to anyone who can get the current 8/1..
He's been 'pricewised' though, so good luck to anyone who can get the current 8/1..
BennyB
Senior Jockey
I have backed Ghanaian every run this season - represents the Annecdote form which has been so profitable for many on here this season.
No indication that soft will be a problem an an each way price.
No indication that soft will be a problem an an each way price.
EC1
On a break
had a go on Gatewood in this 2.40
EC1
On a break
sirius prospect is too big at 15.0..had a nibble
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EC1
On a break
nap of the day for me..Presburg in the 4.35 redcar
swedish chef
At the Start
Uttoxeter 1.50 Vinstar 2pts e/way @ 17.0 & 3.7 betfair
Trainer thought this horse good enough to run in Champion Bumpers at Cheltenham and Aintree but he wasn't right and missed both - you can also ignore his last run in April where he still wasn't right. Now they hope to show what he can do this season. Up against a few good uns in this race but price is value bet.
Trainer thought this horse good enough to run in Champion Bumpers at Cheltenham and Aintree but he wasn't right and missed both - you can also ignore his last run in April where he still wasn't right. Now they hope to show what he can do this season. Up against a few good uns in this race but price is value bet.
EC1
On a break
thought the fav Milord looked pretty solid in that SC
swedish chef
At the Start
Artic Lynx looks worth a punt at the price in the 4.30 at Wolver, back on polytrack.
Stumbled on two of last three runs is a concern but is generally consistent on the a/w surface and is reasonably treated, although trainer did utilize a claimer last year when running here.
With the recent poor turf runs and the stumbling issues, should hopefully get a decent price.
Stumbled on two of last three runs is a concern but is generally consistent on the a/w surface and is reasonably treated, although trainer did utilize a claimer last year when running here.
With the recent poor turf runs and the stumbling issues, should hopefully get a decent price.
COMMANCHE 4.30 WOLVERHAMPTON
Chris Dwyer claimed Commanche out of Patrick Chamings yard when the horse was rated 66 in June and he has improved the horse by 15lbs. His fifth in a 0-95 last time looks solid. The winner has subsequently run down the field in a listed race but the third has placed in a 0-95. He stayed on to good effect and the step up to 6f will suit. He has dropped 1lb and Chris Dwyer has had 9 runners at Wolverhampton since September 1st and five have won.
Excuse To Linger won a 0-80 in a first time visor and two horses have come out and won since to frank the form. However, Excuse To Linger is not one to trust as he is very headstrong. He is 4lbs higher than the win. He hasn’t placed in five races better than 0-80, three 0-85s and two 0-90s. Noseda has a 29% strike at Wolverhampton and the horse should run well, but the horse will decide that.
Howyoudoingnotsobad has won four times all over 5f. He has just run once over 6f and unplaced. He is 0-6 in class 4 and comes from a yard with just one winner from their last 66 runners, currently 0-29.
Piddies Power was fifth to Skytrain when she was last seen in August and the form is rock solid. The winner and the third have won again off 3lbs and 6lbs higher. She is 0-6 at Wolverhampton and both her wins have come on turf. She is 0-7 when returning to the track after a break of 30 days or more. She is 0-11 going left handed.
Als Memory has won five times on polytrack but is 0-6 here, placed three times. He is back to the mark he won a 0-95 off in June at Chester. Dave Evans is 1-49 in the last two weeks. Declan Bates is 1-41 for the yard stretching back to August.
Signor Sassi has been disappointing since leaving Roger Varian. He didn’t cut much ice on his last two runs on polytrack but has a squeak on his third to Al Khan in a 0-90 in July. He is a pound lower but he is still 5lbs higher than his last winning mark. He finished tamely in a 0-85 the other day and both of his wins have come in fields with 7 or less runners.
Arctic Lynx has a win and a third from his two visits to Dunstall Park and races off the same mark today. Four of his five wins have come in races 0-80 or less. He should run well but he had an awful fall at Ascot and he is not drawn in the best place on the rails if he isn’t over it and with pace on his outside it will be frenetic.
Celtic Praise is 4lbs higher than his highest winning mark and is 0-13 over marks 81-84.
Waking Warrior is tried in blinkers and a tongue tie today after spending his last 22 races in blinkers and a tongue tie with two wins. Ryan will be hoping they freshen the horse up. He is 3-10 on the all weather compared to 0-26 on turf. He is 2lbs higher than his last winning mark. He should run well on his return to the artificial surface but his record of 1-12 in in 0-85 and it was a poor 0-85 he won, highest OR 82, suggests today is not his day.
Half A Billion placed in one of his two races at Wolverhampton, 2nd in a maiden. He has never placed in three races in 0-85.
Shafaani has to give weight away to older horses here and this is a tough ask for a 3yo. It is nearly a month since Clive Brittain had a winner, 0-27. He is 3-50 in 3yo+ handicaps at Wolverhampton and the last 17 have lost stretching back to 2006.
Sylvia Pankhurst is 4-8 on artificial surfaces, 3-5 at Wolverhampton but she is 0-5 when returning after a break of a month or more. All her AW wins have been in 0-70.
Conclusion: Not a lot of winning form around in this race. Commanche run a good race in better company last time and the drop in class and the step back up to 6f should be in his favour. Four of horses in the inside six stalls have all led in their races and add Shafaani into the mix there should be a bit of pace. That will suit Commanche and he should be staying on the good effect.
Chris Dwyer claimed Commanche out of Patrick Chamings yard when the horse was rated 66 in June and he has improved the horse by 15lbs. His fifth in a 0-95 last time looks solid. The winner has subsequently run down the field in a listed race but the third has placed in a 0-95. He stayed on to good effect and the step up to 6f will suit. He has dropped 1lb and Chris Dwyer has had 9 runners at Wolverhampton since September 1st and five have won.
Excuse To Linger won a 0-80 in a first time visor and two horses have come out and won since to frank the form. However, Excuse To Linger is not one to trust as he is very headstrong. He is 4lbs higher than the win. He hasn’t placed in five races better than 0-80, three 0-85s and two 0-90s. Noseda has a 29% strike at Wolverhampton and the horse should run well, but the horse will decide that.
Howyoudoingnotsobad has won four times all over 5f. He has just run once over 6f and unplaced. He is 0-6 in class 4 and comes from a yard with just one winner from their last 66 runners, currently 0-29.
Piddies Power was fifth to Skytrain when she was last seen in August and the form is rock solid. The winner and the third have won again off 3lbs and 6lbs higher. She is 0-6 at Wolverhampton and both her wins have come on turf. She is 0-7 when returning to the track after a break of 30 days or more. She is 0-11 going left handed.
Als Memory has won five times on polytrack but is 0-6 here, placed three times. He is back to the mark he won a 0-95 off in June at Chester. Dave Evans is 1-49 in the last two weeks. Declan Bates is 1-41 for the yard stretching back to August.
Signor Sassi has been disappointing since leaving Roger Varian. He didn’t cut much ice on his last two runs on polytrack but has a squeak on his third to Al Khan in a 0-90 in July. He is a pound lower but he is still 5lbs higher than his last winning mark. He finished tamely in a 0-85 the other day and both of his wins have come in fields with 7 or less runners.
Arctic Lynx has a win and a third from his two visits to Dunstall Park and races off the same mark today. Four of his five wins have come in races 0-80 or less. He should run well but he had an awful fall at Ascot and he is not drawn in the best place on the rails if he isn’t over it and with pace on his outside it will be frenetic.
Celtic Praise is 4lbs higher than his highest winning mark and is 0-13 over marks 81-84.
Waking Warrior is tried in blinkers and a tongue tie today after spending his last 22 races in blinkers and a tongue tie with two wins. Ryan will be hoping they freshen the horse up. He is 3-10 on the all weather compared to 0-26 on turf. He is 2lbs higher than his last winning mark. He should run well on his return to the artificial surface but his record of 1-12 in in 0-85 and it was a poor 0-85 he won, highest OR 82, suggests today is not his day.
Half A Billion placed in one of his two races at Wolverhampton, 2nd in a maiden. He has never placed in three races in 0-85.
Shafaani has to give weight away to older horses here and this is a tough ask for a 3yo. It is nearly a month since Clive Brittain had a winner, 0-27. He is 3-50 in 3yo+ handicaps at Wolverhampton and the last 17 have lost stretching back to 2006.
Sylvia Pankhurst is 4-8 on artificial surfaces, 3-5 at Wolverhampton but she is 0-5 when returning after a break of a month or more. All her AW wins have been in 0-70.
Conclusion: Not a lot of winning form around in this race. Commanche run a good race in better company last time and the drop in class and the step back up to 6f should be in his favour. Four of horses in the inside six stalls have all led in their races and add Shafaani into the mix there should be a bit of pace. That will suit Commanche and he should be staying on the good effect.
PlaceBacker
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- Dec 3, 2003
- Messages
- 2,844
Good Luck
5.30 Wolverhampton-Magic Lando
Each Way @ 4-1 [Betfred] BOG
Been expensive to follow but trainer having a good run of form with three winners from 7 runners in the last couple of weeks
5.30 Wolverhampton-Magic Lando
Each Way @ 4-1 [Betfred] BOG
Been expensive to follow but trainer having a good run of form with three winners from 7 runners in the last couple of weeks
EC1
On a break
6.00 Wolves
I'm not convinced that silly billy will appreciate the extended mile in this even in a weak race..could just lay him at evens ..but i've dutched Mudaawem + eretara at 7.4 & 7.6
I'm not convinced that silly billy will appreciate the extended mile in this even in a weak race..could just lay him at evens ..but i've dutched Mudaawem + eretara at 7.4 & 7.6
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