EC1
On a break
4.00 Wild Sauce will appreciate the number of pace horses here and can run through these late on
What are you backing Today?
- Thread starter On The Bridle
- Start date
- Status
EC1
On a break
EC1
On a break
no me neither..had a little on Jayeff Herring..its drifted though
EC1
On a break
that was pretty impressive by the newcomer
I knew they had problems with the surface but is this true regarding fibresand going down ?
Rod Millman Quote.
"That surface has received a lot of criticism in recent weeks and rightly so, the mix of Fibresand on top of Polytrack is causing an inconsistent surface that a lot of horses don't seem to be handling.
"Hopefully that is the reason why he has run so badly the last twice but he has dropped to a mark of 50, this looks a very weak race and it will be disappointing if he isn't in the three."
By James Burn, live from Southwell (AW) 2 hours ago
Rod Millman Quote.
"That surface has received a lot of criticism in recent weeks and rightly so, the mix of Fibresand on top of Polytrack is causing an inconsistent surface that a lot of horses don't seem to be handling.
"Hopefully that is the reason why he has run so badly the last twice but he has dropped to a mark of 50, this looks a very weak race and it will be disappointing if he isn't in the three."
By James Burn, live from Southwell (AW) 2 hours ago
This 5.00 was a watching race for me, as I really thought the Prescott horse looked strong, but too short.
The one thing I remember about the Mel Brittain stable from years ago was how he has huge peaks and troughs in his performers. When I was doing jury service years ago, I popped into the bookies and he bag a huge priced double with a couple of placers as well.
He could well be on one of those runs and it's strange Brockfield is tried on p/t at 7yo.
I'm happy to ignore last run and at 30/5.2 W&P is a bet for me to small money.
The one thing I remember about the Mel Brittain stable from years ago was how he has huge peaks and troughs in his performers. When I was doing jury service years ago, I popped into the bookies and he bag a huge priced double with a couple of placers as well.
He could well be on one of those runs and it's strange Brockfield is tried on p/t at 7yo.
I'm happy to ignore last run and at 30/5.2 W&P is a bet for me to small money.
swedish chef
At the Start
5.00 Egotist e/way
Simpson Jersey
At the Start
- Joined
- Jan 4, 2012
- Messages
- 1,219
Your moneys moved the market Doomster!
EC1
On a break
Simpson Jersey
At the Start
- Joined
- Jan 4, 2012
- Messages
- 1,219
Went odds on IR Doomster, must have made a few quid?
Got my stake back 5 times SJ leaving me with just under a 24/1 shot if it won.
Went a bit heavy on the laybacks after I got stung in the bumper at Lingfield.
Backed Holy Veil to place @ 8.0 with trades at 2.12 and 1.05, simply on the fact it was the only horse that looked suited to the surface.
I knew there was a lump of lard on top but thought she may trade shorter.
It was that far behind it was out of camera shot but crossed line 3rd/4th, but last price matched was 1.04, so thought she had got it.
Finished 4th.
Ling 12.00 One Penny Piece Win @ 2.96
This looks a drifter so I've probably got this one wrong, as I had it down as a 5/4 shot last night, yet chunks of £20's kept going up at 2.6 last night on Daq. I don't like putting shorties up, but I'm all over this one, hopefully with more on at the above price, commi free.
Fairly simplistic, but:
Best trainer in the field this season and at track.
Best jockey in the field this season and at track. Last two rides winners at 12/1 & 20/1.
Last two runs seem fair enough, has a record of 2/6. I've overlooked the RP comment about the lay off, as she did win on debut.
Only horse in the field with a win left handed.
Trainer does very well in selling/claiming company and actually outperforms Evans in this grade.
El Duque has very little chance on a line through See Me Sometime, at the weights.
Caroline's Beach and Rose Buck are open to improvememt, but I just cannot see them running to a mark around the mid to high 60's to win this.
Seacheval does have a squeak, but Jones cannot do the weight and the c/p's really must have an effect, only receiving 2/3lb from the front two.
That leaves us with the Evans runner ( a trainer a can never grasp), with Intense Feeling. Does hold a chance just on her last Lingfield run, but she is possibly better on turf (even fibresand) and I just feel the price differential and the 5lb claim, makes OPP a fair bet.
Both trainers know exactly were they stand with each others recent runners, so I really would expect the on course market to give us some clues.
This looks a drifter so I've probably got this one wrong, as I had it down as a 5/4 shot last night, yet chunks of £20's kept going up at 2.6 last night on Daq. I don't like putting shorties up, but I'm all over this one, hopefully with more on at the above price, commi free.
Fairly simplistic, but:
Best trainer in the field this season and at track.
Best jockey in the field this season and at track. Last two rides winners at 12/1 & 20/1.
Last two runs seem fair enough, has a record of 2/6. I've overlooked the RP comment about the lay off, as she did win on debut.
Only horse in the field with a win left handed.
Trainer does very well in selling/claiming company and actually outperforms Evans in this grade.
El Duque has very little chance on a line through See Me Sometime, at the weights.
Caroline's Beach and Rose Buck are open to improvememt, but I just cannot see them running to a mark around the mid to high 60's to win this.
Seacheval does have a squeak, but Jones cannot do the weight and the c/p's really must have an effect, only receiving 2/3lb from the front two.
That leaves us with the Evans runner ( a trainer a can never grasp), with Intense Feeling. Does hold a chance just on her last Lingfield run, but she is possibly better on turf (even fibresand) and I just feel the price differential and the 5lb claim, makes OPP a fair bet.
Both trainers know exactly were they stand with each others recent runners, so I really would expect the on course market to give us some clues.
Desperate Dan
Senior Jockey
Good start, doomster
PlaceBacker
Senior Jockey
- Joined
- Dec 3, 2003
- Messages
- 2,813
Two bets at Lingfield [BOG]
1.30-Quadriga @ 7-2 [Stan James] Win...Trainer under rated
3.30-Teide Peak @ 7-1 [Bet 365] Each Way..Proven in this type of race
1.30-Quadriga @ 7-2 [Stan James] Win...Trainer under rated
3.30-Teide Peak @ 7-1 [Bet 365] Each Way..Proven in this type of race
jft2005
Conditional
1.50 Warwick - Blue Button's.
Harry Fry speaks highly of her & is quoted as saying if she progresses as he expects, she could end up in the mares final at Newbury. If that's the case, she should be up to landing a blow here. Fell at the first on debut a week ago, i expect she is none the worse for it otherwise they wouldn't be running her so soon. A long as that fall hasn't damaged her confidence, she should run into the places here. I feel 8-1 is over priced.
Harry Fry speaks highly of her & is quoted as saying if she progresses as he expects, she could end up in the mares final at Newbury. If that's the case, she should be up to landing a blow here. Fell at the first on debut a week ago, i expect she is none the worse for it otherwise they wouldn't be running her so soon. A long as that fall hasn't damaged her confidence, she should run into the places here. I feel 8-1 is over priced.
Good luck Aldaniti. Jumps is something I can't comment on.
I took it a bit personally when OPP still drifted, but she did it nicely. Wouldn't be surprised if Evan's tried to claim it.
Ling 2.00 Norphin W&P @ 12/3.5
Small bet on this bad race. 3yo with few miles on the clock and last run can be discounted.
SIRIUS PROSPECT 6.30 KEMPTON
Graphic steps up in grade but his speed figures suggest he can handle this but at his price I will pass him over for Sirius Prospect who has form in Group races. Since the application of the hood and Rob Winston this horse has been on the up. Form figures of 411505 don’t tell much of a story but last time he was 6ls behind Slade Power who had been second in the Betfred Sprint Cup and third in the July Cup. Second was Jack Dexter who went on to win the Wentworth Stakes and had been fourth beaten 1.5ls in the Kings Stand. Viztoria was third who won the Park Stakes, Sirius Prospect fifth, and was sixth in the Coronation Stakes. Fourth was Hoof It who was third in the Betfred Sprint Cup.
He has to find a bit with Graphic and Tullius on official figures but Sirius Prospect is a decent price here and should return a profit to each way money.
Graphic steps up in grade but his speed figures suggest he can handle this but at his price I will pass him over for Sirius Prospect who has form in Group races. Since the application of the hood and Rob Winston this horse has been on the up. Form figures of 411505 don’t tell much of a story but last time he was 6ls behind Slade Power who had been second in the Betfred Sprint Cup and third in the July Cup. Second was Jack Dexter who went on to win the Wentworth Stakes and had been fourth beaten 1.5ls in the Kings Stand. Viztoria was third who won the Park Stakes, Sirius Prospect fifth, and was sixth in the Coronation Stakes. Fourth was Hoof It who was third in the Betfred Sprint Cup.
He has to find a bit with Graphic and Tullius on official figures but Sirius Prospect is a decent price here and should return a profit to each way money.
- Status