HONEST JOHN 2.50 CATTERICK
Honest John hasn’t shown much for a year but he is back on the mark he last won off and in a class he has an excellent record. He is 2-4 in 0-120, 2-3 in races with 7 runners or less. He is 0-6 in higher grade. He will handle the track as he won round here over hurdles, has his ground and the stable are in form with 2 of their last 4 runners winning.
Categorical is the likely jolly due to his close third in a 0-145 in April. Off the same mark he is sure to have his supporters. The ground is likely to be too quick for him here as he is 1-43 on good or quicker ground and he has unplaced on each of his four visits here. He is 2-10 in 0-120 with a further four places. Both of those wins came when carrying more than 7lbs less than the top weight and his record when within 6lbs of top weight reads 0-4, just one place. He did win a handicap chase off 125 in March 2011 but he is 9lbs higher than his win at Southwell in March.
O Callaghan Strand is 0-4 going left handed in chases. He is 3-12 in handicap chases, 1-4 in 0-120. However, he has failed five times in 0-115 and 0-120 when within 6lbs of top weight or has to carry top weight. He didn’t place in any of those races. He is 6lbs higher than his win at Ludlow in January and is 0-7 off marks above 112.
Everaard is 0-8 when returning to the track after a break of 60 days or more, never placing and all six of his wins have come within 30 days of his last race. He is only lightly raced as a chaser and his record of 2-6 is decent. Both those wins were at Musselburgh. He is perfectly capable of making his presence felt in this grade and won round here over hurdles but he looks sure to need it.
Nodform Richard won this off 115 last year and off 117 he has a decent chance. However, this is much tougher this year. The blinkers are back on and McCain also won this in 2008. He has a live chance.
Noble Witness won over this course and distance in December last year off 99 and has won again off 107. However, all his wins were in 0-110 or less and only once has he ventured into 0-120 and was unplaced.
Conclusion: Nodform Richard is sure to be primed for a repeat performance but this is tougher than last year and Honest John looks well handicapped. He beat Chac Du Cadran a year ago and that horse is now racing off 12lbs higher. He his back on his last winning mark and Paul Bohan is well worth his 7lbs claim which gives Honest John a major chance.