What are you backing Today?

Status
Not open for further replies.
The 4.40 Southwell looks an interesting race to me as well reet hard.
Ace Master absolutely hacked up lto over 6fs but can't help but feel that his oponents ran below par that day and has never really struck me as an 80+ horse and after 50 odd runs doubt he's suddenly improved that much.
Bognor may have reached his top mark when winning from 76 and was well btn lto although loves this course, should place.
Canyari may be better over 6fs reet hard by Dandy Man and think Amenable is also better over 6fs.
Interesting horse for me in this race is Powerful Presence for O'Meara, was a very good performer at Southwell when last seen here but that was back in 2012 and has run consistantly well on turf for O'Meara since to not run him back at Southwell, contesting more valuable races and ran well last summer from 80/82 on softish ground at Ayr/Catt, interesting that with his stable in good form 5 winners and 2 seconds last F/N decides to run him here after a little break.
 
Ruban with as well Powerful presence a good record fresh at Southwell. Ruban cantering all the way round last time out, but sadly the market has pounced. A fair bit to find on paper, but the LTO says it all.
 
Molasses 13.50 Plumpton 5/2 Won

Decent run FTO and getting lumps off the odds on fav today. Fav might pull too hard today and this one could pick up the pieces

Traffic Fluide 14.50 Plumpton 6/4 Won

Couple of decent runs since transferring from France. Receiving lumps as a 5yo today and think it will grind this out today for the Moores at their local track.

Qatar Princess 14.00 Wolv 11/4 Unplaced

Booking of Kirby catches the eye, go to jock for Mr Jenkins. Trainer is in decent form lately and can see this one shedding her maiden today.

Episode 16.10 Catt 11/4 3rd

Trainer thinks a bit of this fella and had it's half brother Avidity who is a pretty good animal. Money is down today and I'd expect this one to show huge improvement for it's debut and go very close today.
 
Last edited:
trefflich said:
Molasses 13.50 Plumpton 5/2 Won

Decent run FTO and getting lumps off the odds on fav today. Fav might pull too hard today and this one could pick up the pieces

Traffic Fluide 14.50 Plumpton 6/4 Won

Couple of decent runs since transferring from France. Receiving lumps as a 5yo today and think it will grind this out today for the Moores at their local track.

Qatar Princess 14.00 Wolv 11/4 Unplaced

Booking of Kirby catches the eye, go to jock for Mr Jenkins. Trainer is in decent form lately and can see this one shedding her maiden today.

Episode 16.10 Catt 11/4 3rd

Trainer thinks a bit of this fella and had it's half brother Avidity who is a pretty good animal. Money is down today and I'd expect this one to show huge improvement for it's debut and go very close today.
Click to expand...

Good shout with these Tref. Two winners and Episode went close.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
 
I want Simmply Sam to win at Ayr today (3:15) to advertise the form with Lights Of Broadway who I make ten pound well-handicapped for the handicap hurdle at Chepstow tomorrow (4:05).
A win for Simmply Sam would be a nice boost for Lights Of Broadway.
 
Last edited:
2.00South. MASTER OF DISGUISE and in the 3.05 KATIE GALE I'm on my way so good luck to you all
 
marble said:
I want Simmply Sam to win at Ayr today (3:15) to advertise the form with Lights Of Broadway who I make ten pound well-handicapped for the handicap hurdle at Chepstow tomorrow (4:05).
A win for Simmply Sam would be a nice boost for Lights Of Broadway.
Click to expand...

That's good...Lights Of Broadway was an 8L second to Barton Rose who is now rated 119. At a pound- per-length theoretically that could put Lights Of Broadway on 111, (or at least mean she is nearer 111 than the 101 she runs from tomorrow), so she looks nicely weighted with 10:8 on her back and decent ground will suit.
Simmply Sam franking her winning form is good aswell.

Wednesday 4:05 Chepstow Lights Of Broadway
 
Last edited:
marble said:
That's good...Lights Of Broadway was an 8L second to Barton Rose who is now rated 119. At a pound- per-length theoretically that could put Lights Of Broadway on 111, (or at least mean she is nearer to 111 than the 101 she runs off tomorrow), so she looks nicely weighted with 10:8 on her back and decent ground will suit.
Simmply Sam franking her winning form is good aswell.

Wednesday 4:05 Chepstow Lights Of Broadway
Click to expand...

8/1 early price marble! Value?
 
jarv said:
8/1 early price marble! Value?
Click to expand...
Yeah cracking value @ 10's. Strong form coming into the race.

Based on most relevent form she should be carrying 11:4.
I hope the ground stays gd-st or better and then we'll see....I love finding one i think is well-in, I rub my hands and licks my lips then pays my cash and takes my chance. :)
 
Last edited:
Simpson Jersey said:
Suprise,Suprise Cilla here!

I have put one up on the olbg last night but everyone else put the same horse up in the last at Kempton, not a confident selection as i think the horse is a rogue but seems overpriced(last night)at 12/1 in relation to the favs, New Leyf!
Click to expand...

Goes again today.
 
Yes it does Benny, same C/D down in class and apprentice allowance negates the penalty, seems a decent price now about 6/1-13/2, rather depends on wether the lad knows how long to hold it up for but can't see a logical reason that it can't follow up. Last time they had Pearl Noir to blaze the trail but i'm pretty sure Rise to Glory will do that job tonight.
 
marble said:
That's good...Lights Of Broadway was an 8L second to Barton Rose who is now rated 119. At a pound- per-length theoretically that could put Lights Of Broadway on 111, (or at least mean she is nearer 111 than the 101 she runs from tomorrow), so she looks nicely weighted with 10:8 on her back and decent ground will suit.
Simmply Sam franking her winning form is good aswell.

Wednesday 4:05 Chepstow Lights Of Broadway
Click to expand...


Great call marble!!!! I owe you a pint or two £40 ew ;)
 
Thanks for that Marble.................................. I've also doubled it with MR RED CLUBS in the 6.15 at Kempton
 
Also think that Windy Miller has a very good EW chance in the 7.45, only had the 4 runs and last one was an eyecatcher over 7fs here in class 7, this race is very similar even though a class 6, made up a tremendous amount of ground final 2 furlongs to get 4th, has an 8lbs pull with the winner Actonetakeone(inc allowances) and extra 1f here should suit, by Sakhees Secret who has a fair few winners here. Looks to have the impressive winner Henry Grace to beat imo.
 
Simpson Jersey said:
Yes it does Benny, same C/D down in class and apprentice allowance negates the penalty, seems a decent price now about 6/1-13/2, rather depends on wether the lad knows how long to hold it up for but can't see a logical reason that it can't follow up. Last time they had Pearl Noir to blaze the trail but i'm pretty sure Rise to Glory will do that job tonight.
Click to expand...

Great shout Stew. Well done Marb as well, top foruming all round.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
 
Been playing Snooker, only just watched the evening card, New leyf just about got up on the line but a nice price at 7/1.
Knew there is a good reason the trainer buys them back! Original post.

New Leyf.

Always find it interesting when a trainer claims back a horse he used to train especially when it's dropped to a much lower mark than when he trained it. A good example being Bennandoner who Mike Murphy lost out of a claimer for 6k when rated 84, bought it back a year later for 3k when rated 49! Quickly won 2 races with it.
New Leyf was trained by Jeremy Gask till Oct 11 when rated 85 has been around the houses since then and Gask claimed back for 5k last year when rated 73 (had been winless for all other trainers), ran 3rd 1st time back with Gask over C/D from 73 behind Spellmaker now 10lbs higher and Go Far now rated 100. Has run mainly dissapointing since but did show that he's capeable from around this mark when 3rd over C/D 3 outings ago off 69 ran 3rd to Front page News in a class 4. Dissapointed lto but has had a little break and this may be the time to catch him, had won twice over C/D for Gask early in his career and won from 84 over 7fs as well.
At a big price could be worth chancing EW imo.

Ran at Lingfield over 7fs in a hot claimer since and realistically had no chance although the winner didn't have a chance beforehand either! New Leyf has never run well at Lingfield. Think you've all said everything about his Kempton run, have backed at 12/1 tmr.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top