What are you backing Today?

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Exactly, you'll get plenty of blanks but you only need a few to pop in to keep the profit ticking over.

Bad call in the 2.00, never got competitive after a slow start. Looks like he needs further.
 
And the theory pays off. Thank god for best odds. I thought 14's was generous and he won at 16's!
 
Good stuff boys, I'm also on City of Ideas as well as Nisser in the 6.50.
 
Brilliant stuff lads. Was crazy busy at work today and luckily cast my eye over this thread for 2 mins and saw the tip and the endorsement, which was enough to tempt me in. Many thanks👍 . Didn't actually see any racing today, what happened at Windsor that there was only 3 races?
 
Ricko said:
2.00 - Wolverhampton - Secret Ballerina - 1 pt win. Available at 8/1
 She ran well enough on debut and will have learned a lot for that. She has apparently been working really well and should be able to show a fair bit of improvement today. Should have every chance of reversing the form with the favourite.

4.00 - Wolverhampton - Tiga Tuan - 1 pt win. Available at 15/2
She hasn’t shown much so far but is slowly improving and the feeling is that she does have some ability. She can take another step forward today and should be able to get competitive.

4.10 - Musselburgh:
Love Marmalade. 2 pts win. Available at 13/2.
Bayan Kasirga. 1 pt e/w. Available at 12/1.
Love Marmalade made his reappearance over two miles here last month and, although well beaten, that would've been too far and he could come on for that run. He is now back down to a mark one pound lower in the weights than when winning this race two seasons ago. He has run well on each of the four occasions he has run in this class over 12/13 furlongs on fast ground (form figures of 1322) and back down in trip he looks primed for a big run. The booking of a jockey who rides the track well (20% strike rate in recent seasons) takes the eye and the yard's horses have historically done well on turf at this time of year. Bayan Kasirga has won two of her last three starts on the A/W, both over 12 furlongs on the Tapeta at Wolverhampton, and ran much better than her final finishing position suggests at Beverley last time out. She was short of racing room when the pace quickened and didn't lose any further ground once she found daylight, eventually beaten four and a half lengths. Her two previous visits to this track have resulted in victories over 12/13 furlongs and she is still on a good mark on earlier form. She drops back down to a class where she has made the frame in five of her eight completed starts over 12/13 furlongs on ground good or faster, winning three of those races. She represents a yard who have an imperious 22% strike rate at this track, returning a l.s.p of £54.

6.00 - Towcester - Jinsha Lake. 0.75 pts e/w. Available at 16/1.
Marju's Quest won easily at Market Rasen on Friday and he could take some pegging back under his seven pound penalty. This is a stiffer track than he is normally effective on but he has form over further so he is unlikely to fail on stamina grounds. Looks Like Power looks to be on a feasible mark but at a bigger price a chance is taken on Jinsha Lake. He has been beaten out of sight in all four starts over hurdles but they all came on soft/heavy ground and his flat form in Ireland suggests he should find today's conditions much more to his liking. That form on the level saw him reach a peak mark of 90 and he runs from just four pounds higher for this handicap debut over hurdles. It's surprising to see that he is still an entire and he may just be a regressive horse who is a poor hurdler but, as a four year old with just nine starts behind him, it's bit early to be writing him off. He receives a stone and upwards from all bar one of the field and represents a yard who, as well as being very rare visitors here, send just the one to the track today. The stable jockey partners and he turn up forhis only booked ride.

8.20 - Windsor - City Of Ideas. 2.5 pts win. Available at 4/1.
Handicaps for three year olds at this time of the year are races we normally avoid but there is the odd time when there is a horse who peaks interest. On this occasion it's the John Gosden trained City Of Ideas. He made his handicap debut when reappearing at Bath last month and his near seven length third included finishing four lengths behind Gawdapalin. He obviously has work to do to turn that form round with the runner up but there are several reasons to suspect he could do so. His rival had the advantage of a previous outing and City Of Ideas has a four pound pull in the weights but the step up to 12 furlongs provides the main reason for optimism. Gawdapalin should also be suited by the extra distance as well but City Of Ideas is by a stouter Sire and a fanciful Derby entry suggests that connections were initially of the opinion that it was over this sort of trip that his future lie. His Dam, by a Derby winning Sire, reached a peak rating of 111 over 12 furlongs so City of Ideas is bred to be better than a 75 handicapper under today's conditions. Time will tell if has inherited the ability to be so.
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Two terrific winners selected yesterday Ricko with a very good write up, nice to be backed up by Maruco as well on the jumper, well done lads.
 
Double Handful said:
Brilliant stuff lads. Was crazy busy at work today and luckily cast my eye over this thread for 2 mins and saw the tip and the endorsement, which was enough to tempt me in. Many thanks�� . Didn't actually see any racing today, what happened at Windsor that there was only 3 races?
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Abandoned due to unsafe ground
 
I do like to back a horse that is really fit after being campaigned on the AW when returning to turf early on in the turf season and have one that looks really well in returning to turf.
Oriental Relation of James Given has been almost exclusively campaigned on the AW since Sept 2014 except for the recent run on heavy ground at Ripon. On the face of it looks best at Chelmsford over 6fs but has also won at Kempton and Wolverhampton over 5fs, by 5 lengths from now 90 rated Royal Birth.
Ignoring the Ripon run, his previous turf outings on GF ground were off marks of 78-82 in C4 h'caps at Nottm and York over 5/5.5fs, btn between 3 1/2 and 5 1/4 lengths. Has got a decent draw in 6 which is now 5 with the NR and i think that regular jockey Tom Eaves can get him in a good position and hopefully stay on strongly up the hill. This is the lowest grade he's run in for ages usually contests C3/C4 races.
Was available at 16/1 when i started to type with WH but generally 10/1-12/1 now.
 
Good luck SJ. I think I'll push my luck today see if the good run can continue.

3.00 - Beverley:
See Vermont. 2 pts win. Available at 7/1.
Oriental Splendour. 1 pt win. Available at 10/1.
Conditions at Beverley are current good to firm and it's anyone's guess how much rain they will have or how much of it gets into the ground and changes conditions. See Vermont is weighted up to his best but he has plenty of form at this track and he travels well through his races. There appears to be enough pace in the race for him to be effective and he doesn't have a bad draw in stall five. His best form is on fast ground so he may not want conditions to ease too much but he does go well for today's jockey. Oriental Splendour isn't drawn as well in stall eight, and he is still a maiden after ten starts, but has run well in the majority of those races. As a result his mark hasn't changed much since he entered handicap company but this is just his second start for his current yard and they will find him suitable opportunities. He is another who may not want the ground to ease too much. He represents a yard whose horses are in decent order and they send just the one to the races today.

3.30 - Beverley - Marsh Pride. 1 pt e/w. Available at 11/1.
Marsh Pride is five pounds above the mark from which she gained her last win so she will probably need to improve to win this. However she was a progressive three year old last season and, with her reappearance behind her, she could resume her upward curve this term. The form of her fourth over nine furlongs at York in a much better race in October reads well in the context of this race and the form has worked out very well since. That came on good to soft ground, and most of her best form has been on good going or slower, but she handled quick conditions at Musselburgh last September so all is not lost if today's ground doesn't change much. She doesn't have the ideal draw for a front runner but, Montechristo in stall five aside, she looks the most likely to lead and if she can tack across without using up too much energy she could be difficult to pass. The yard are in form, do well at this track and send just the one to the races today.

7.55 - Chepstow:
Bonjour Steve. 2 pts win. Available at 11/2.
Jaganory. 1 pt e/w. Available at 14/1.
 
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We managed 2nd and 3rd between us Ricko shame one came to do us but did back OR ew so made a few quid at 12/1.
Good luck with the other one.
 
I'm gonna take an EW punt on a 50/1 shot at York this afternoon in the 2.40. Red Pike has a bit to prove on his lat 3 runs but the handicapper may have given him a chance as he's now 3 pounds below his last winning mark. Ran well off a mark 3 pound higher than today's to finish 4th in a decent race at Newmarket this time last year over this distance. Was poor on his reappearance lately but it's likely that the ground was against him that day. Has a bad draw today in stall 1 but @ 50/1 I think he may have an EW squeak.
 
2.10 - York - Pacify. 2 pts win. Available at 11/2.
Several of these are open to significant improvement this season. Given that this race has gone to Newmarket Trainers eight times in the past decade drops a big hint for favourite Spanish Squeeze, who is the only raider from that area in this renewal. However preference is for top weight Pacify who comes here on the back of a close second on his reappearance in the City And Suburban on soft ground at Epsom. There was three lengths back to the third and the winner has since franked the form at Chester from a six pound higher mark. He has an appealing progressive profile which has seen him competitive on all nine of his starts and improve with each race. He is up another four pounds in the weights but if he comes on, or improves, for his first start of the campaign then a mark of 99 won't stop him get very competitive. He ran well in a large field handicap over C/D on good ground last season and has a victory on fast ground to his name, so he is versatile toward ground conditions. The yard have been in good form so far this season and they have a very profitable 17% strike rate with their older horses in handicaps in recent seasons.


2.40 - York - George Bowen. 1 pt e/w. Available at 12/1.
There doesn't seem much in the draw here when the ground is running good or faster. With Yeeoow now a non-runner the majority of the early pace is drawn low but there is still enough across the track to believe it may not be decisive. As usual, this looks wide open but a chance is taken on the Richard Fahey trained George Bowen who makes his reappearance this afternoon. He has won his first start of both seasons to date so the lack of a recent run may not be vital and he starts this season one pound lower than he finished last season's progressive campaign. He was very competitive with his elders last year and he is very closely weighted with stablemate, Tatislu, on their running in the Ayr Silver Cup last September. George Bowen has run well in three of his four visits here and Tony Hamilton rides for the first time since the pair were successful on reappearance last season. Said to be a stronger horse this year, George Bowen wouldn't need to improve much to have a first rate chance of making the frame at the very least.


5.20 - York:
Prendergast Hill. 2 pts win. Available at 6/1.
Cragganock. 1 pt e/w. Available at 20/1.
Carthage. 0.5 pts e/w. Available at 22/1.
Considering he didn't handle Epsom last time out (even though his victory came at the track), he travelled and ran well to finish third in a competitive handicap over twelve furlongs in soft ground. That was his first start at the trip and he has the potential for much more. He is certainly bred for the job and the quicker ground here shouldn't pose a problem. The return to a more conventional track should see him in a better light and it would be a surprise if he didn't soon leave a mark of 85 well behind. He has improved with each of his five starts and he again gets the strong handling of Jim Crowley. He represents a yard who have done well with the horses they have sent here, recording a 2 from 9 record here in recent seasons. Cragganock hasn't run a bad race since his reappearance last season He is still weighted to be competitive and, although his recent form has been with plenty of cut in the ground, he has a good ground victory to his name. The yard's horses are running well and their 12% strike rate with today's jockey has been very profitable, so big priced winners are not unknown. Carthage was fourth in this race from a five pound higher mark and has been hurdling this year. His connections may have had an eye on this race and he looks worth supporting to a small stake at a big price.


5.45 - Worcester - Number One London. 0.5 pts e/w. Available at 25/1.
 
MoscowFlyerisMagnificent said:
I'm gonna take an EW punt on a 50/1 shot at York this afternoon in the 2.40. Red Pike has a bit to prove on his lat 3 runs but the handicapper may have given him a chance as he's now 3 pounds below his last winning mark. Ran well off a mark 3 pound higher than today's to finish 4th in a decent race at Newmarket this time last year over this distance. Was poor on his reappearance lately but it's likely that the ground was against him that day. Has a bad draw today in stall 1 but @ 50/1 I think he may have an EW squeak.
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Missed the race but I see it came 3rd. Lovely
 
5.00 Perth-Mister First @ 3-1 [Paddy Power] BOG

Can see him winning again if turning out after yesterday victory
 
3.25 Perth Jet Master
Has a good chance on last year's form and his latest effort behind two progressive types looks decent. Gets plenty of weight from the top two and worth a bet at 8/1 (only 4s with Lads)


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Damn I meant to post these earlier, this is going to look like massive after-timing now. Although i doubt anyone could type it up that quickly ;)

2.10 - York - Duke Of Firenze. 1 pt e/w. Available at 14/1.
Unfortunately our hopes that the draw at York wouldn't play a part on the sprint course were dashed yesterday when those drawn low seemed to hold a significant advantage. It doesn't always follow that it will be the same today but the probability is that it will be. There is plenty of pace drawn across the track and, among those to be drawn on the far side, are the early pacers Red Baron, Normal Equilibrium and Desert Law in stalls three, two and one respectively. With Thesme in stall ten likely to make his way over toward those drawn low, there should be a very generous pace on the far flank of the field. That should suit Duke Of Firenze who is suited by being able to stalk and quicken off a fast gallop. The ground here is probably a bit quicker than ideal but four of his five career wins have been on good ground so he may get away with it if the good to firm patches reported are at a minimum in the straight. He lost his action when last seen racing here 12 months ago in the Sprint Handicap but he was a very close fifth in the same race two seasons earlier and races off a six pound lower mark today. He hasn't reached that level so far in three starts for his current connections but he seems to be working his way back there and his current handler knows all about priming a sprinter for a big run. The yard's relatively small string are in good order and they send just the one to this meeting. Duke Of Firenze turns out here after running just six days ago but he has won two of his three starts when turning out within a week in the past; the loss coming on quick ground in the Epsom Dash.


3.45 - York - Master The World. 1 pt e/w. Available at 12/1.
We may regret deserting Donncha after he went close for us in the Spring Mile at Newbury on his reappearance but preference on this occasion is for Master The World. He was beaten a short head in the Cambridgeshire at Newmarket over nine furlongs last September and was just over three lengths third in the Balmoral Handicap at Ascot from a five pound higher mark in October. From the same mark he produced a performance almost as good as his Cambridgeshire effort when finishing just under two lengths fifth in a 14 runner handicap back at Newmarket last month. That suggests he has wintered well and could be a late developer capable of bridging the gap between handicap and Pattern company in this campaign. The champion jockey, who rode him last time out and in the Cambridgeshire, is on board for just the third time and he has a very profitable 25% strike rate (11 from 55) for the yard. The Stable normally do well at this time of year and they had their first winner of the turf season seven days ago.


5.45 - Newmarket - Tatawu. 1 pt e/w. Available at 12/1


6.45 - Newmarket:
Rhythmical. 2 pts win. Available at 13/2.
Saoi. 0.5 pts e/w. Available at 33/1.
 
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