What are you backing Today?

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Desert Orchid said:
I think 9/1 Sarajevo at home to Celtic this evening in the Europa League is far too generous.

Obviously I hope I'm wrong but I've watched Celtic toil through several games recently and worry about their confidence in matches of this nature. They're really struggling to break down teams that defend in numbers and they look vulnerable on the counter. Shane Duffy looks strong in attack at set pieces but he defends like a schoolboy. I'd rather have Jullien and the excellent Ajer in central defence but can't see Lennon abandoning the Irishman.

We're generally okay elsewhere but Taylor at left wing back is too cautious in attack and too slow in defence. He's not genuine Celtic quality but has been doing a decent enough job domestically.

Frimpong is a very exciting prospect and should start with Forrest not travelling through injury.

We can score plenty if the service is there so much will defend on how we cope with a couple of parked buses.

Overall we should be good enough to win but I wouldn't have us much shorter than even money away from home in Europe at this stage of competition and 9/1 Sarajevo is a strong sickness insurance option.
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Not pretty but we were never really threatened and nearly all our good attacks came via Frimpong. It was very like a Scottish Premiership game where the home team sets out not to lose but on another night we could have scored another two or three.

Still, to go to Bosnia and come away with a win is a decent result and we were in total control. All we need now is a good group for the next stages.

I'm happy to have lost the bet.
 
Arbalet 3.05A ran his best race for a while, over this C&D and ridden by Josie Gordon 3 ago.
Drop in class and a useful draw gives her chance to go one better tomorrow.
16/1 4 places Skybet.
 
reet hard said:
Arbalet 3.05A ran his best race for a while, over this C&D and ridden by Josie Gordon 3 ago.
Drop in class and a useful draw gives her chance to go one better tomorrow.
16/1 4 places Skybet.
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4th 10/1 - B365 paid up, Skybet didn't?
 
Have had my largest bet for some time on Veracious in the Sun Chariot. Showed she handles this ground in last season's QE11 and, though many attributed her poor finish to going off too quickly (and Oisin Murphy is a mug, and doesn't understand pace), connnections viewed it differently, and she had a wind op during lockdown.
Connections were delighted with her debut since, in a small listed race at Haydock, and reported her much stronger this season. Reckon she swerved the Matron and the Falmouth (good ground, not the official soft) to wait for the back-end ground in either this or the QE11.
Could be totally wrong, but I'll have a heck of a time, if I'm not.
Taken 9/1 with Betfair, and 8's with a number of others
 
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Tough weekend with the weather. Not confident even though I have some good ap positions.

I backed Tis Marvellous for the 1355 Rous Stakes at Ascot earlier in the week but the rain has tempered enthusiasm

Alpine Star was my choice for the Sun Chariot a bit ago. She's a top class filly with one Group 1 win to her name this year and I was thinking Jessie would head to Newmarket for an easier race instead of going to Paris. I saw the writing on the wall last week so chanced 5/1 on Peaceful and she looks the one to beat. Not convinced about the Gosden pair on really soft ground and Champs Elysees was flattered lto.

In France I thought 4/1 about Manuela De Vega for the Royallieu was very fair. She'll love the ground naturally.
 
Indeed. Well done on your recent wins, Reet.

One I want to give a good shout to is Qaysar, (Redcar, 2.50). Seven furlongs often turns out to be a specialist distance to win over, and although Qaysar is the outsider of this small but select field, he's a horse who actually has a good record over this distance, plus excellent form on soft ground too. He can go close at nice odds today.

Good luck.
 
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reet hard said:
Have had my largest bet for some time on Veracious in the Sun Chariot. Showed she handles this ground in last season's QE11 and, though many attributed her poor finish to going off too quickly (and Oisin Murphy is a mug, and doesn't understand pace), connnections viewed it differently, and she had a wind op during lockdown.
Connections were delighted with her debut since, in a small listed race at Haydock, and reported her much stronger this season. Reckon she swerved the Matron and the Falmouth (good ground, not the official soft) to wait for the back-end ground in either this or the QE11.
Could be totally wrong, but I'll have a heck of a time, if I'm not.
Taken 9/1 with Betfair, and 8's with a number of others
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Forced the pace, as expected, then folded completely in the closing stages. Looks very much like the wind-op didn't work.
Ho-hum!
 
Longchamp 1:50

La Jonction (E/W) is open to more serious improvement having only run twice, those two wins coming on right handed tracks which she'll encounter again tomorrow. Her sire Kingman handled testing conditions extremely well and La Jonction's mother also won on very soft, so conditions may actually turn out to be perfect. La Jonction beat a consistent type of horse called Miss Louna the last day, who was herself then in a blanket finish at Lyon when fourth behind Darkness.

On this form line with Miss Louna La Jonction is likely already a group 3 or group 2 horse, especially as that was only her second run. I'll confess I've never heard of the trainer, though I see that connections landed a decent priced winner at the track today so the stable certainly are in form. There's lots of nice fillies in the race, but at the respective odds, based on what they've done, I had to argue the case for this horse.
 
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In today's Abbaye, I've taken Archer's Dream (18/1 three places and 14/1 four places). Simon Rowlands did an ever-informative piece on the Longchamp draw during the week highlighting the big advantage low-drawn runners have in soft ground. I like soft-ground six-furlong horses in soft-ground Abbayes and Archers Dream fits the bill at a nice price. She has plenty to do on the figures but the draw will inconvenience a few of the better ones.

SR's piece also suggested the draw won't be an issue for high numbers in the Arc.
 
n good shape today from an ap point of view. I have Sottsass at nice prices in singles and in a double with Tawkeel in the Opera. The Ballydoyle withdrawals are huge from a pace point of view and gives both Rouget horses better chances. I also backed Raabihah a bit ago but the ground is a doubt with her.
Tawkeel may outstay Alpine Star in the Opera and I've dutched Topbeau and Safe Voyage in the Foret.
 
Well done with Sottsass Euro.

I considered the horse a bit the last month or two but before today I thought he was dissapointing this season.
 
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Thanks Marbs. He was, but his form was boosted by the horse that beat him in the Group 2 at Deauville when he won on Saturday. That said I feel he was very fortunate - the Ballydoyle quartet coming out was huge for his chances. One of Serpentine or Sovereign would have set a faster pace and I doubt Sottsass would have held off a closer in that scenario.
 
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