Hopefully her bottle goes, and she capitulates for a Peoples Vote.
Odds on now I would have thought. I said over a year ago when no one gave it a chance that I thought it was a 30% likely outcome
Ironically the Brexiteers might have emboldened her now given that she can move with a lot more freedom and actually show some leadership instead of a being follower of instruction. The Brexiteers have handed her a 12 month period of grace with the threat of challenge removed. She's in a stronger position to call one, than she was at the start of the day. There's also the retreat of UKIP to factor into her thinking. When Nigel Farage has left the party because it's too extreme, there's no longer any prospect of it offering a haven for malcontent conservatives MP's, something that couldn't necessarily be said for Cameron
Theresa May is actually a civil servant though rather than a politician. She'd probably make someone a good Permanent Secretary. She's in the wrong job. She should have moved into Whitehall not Westminster, but with her own political future now set she has no reason to think long term and career anymore. She's going to be Baroness May of Maidenhead by 2021. She might just surprise us and move decisively and do something dynamic that a more inspirational and instinctive politician would.
When her own half-baked proposal is defeated on the substantive vote (which surely it has to be), we now know that at least 117 Tories will vote against it, then she's got nowhere to go other than throwing it back to the people. It's good politics anyway. She needs the people to own the decision and accept the consequences for it, because right now if it all goes tits up, they won't. Voters will rarely admit they're stupid and got something wrong. They are prepared to admit they were lied to though and blame the person that did it. In this case it would Boris Johnson and by extension, the Tories
The potential spanner in the works however would be if Labour finally did what they should have done 12 months ago and positioned themselves on a second vote platform. If they did that and committed to it, and then called a vote of no confidence, how would the 20-25 Tory rebels vote? Would they vote even?. Jeremy Corbyn could probably finish as of tonight if he changes policy. She couldn't risk being defeated and brought down by the likes of Ken Clarke, Anna Soubry, Sarah Woolaston et al. She'd be better off taking the moment into her own hands and pulling the trigger