The 2024 Longshot Thread

Desert Orchid said:
Edit - also Castle Rushen 40/1 and The Imposter 50/1. CR is too high up my ratings table not to back and The Imposter, while further down goes into a very valuable handicap with form figures 1/111- with the profile of an improver. I reckon if it won people would look at that and wonder why they dissed it.
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Fourth place for Castle Rushen and for a fair way I was getting excited but he looked pretty legless from three out.

It's looking pretty attritional out there. Could well play into Royale Pagaille's hands.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Same race - Zain Nights 20/1, 5 places - on my figures has a similar chance as the favourite so I'd rather back it ew than the fav win only. This is actually my main bet in the race.

Edit - also Castle Rushen 40/1 and The Imposter 50/1. CR is too high up my ratings table not to back and The Imposter, while further down goes into a very valuable handicap with form figures 1/111- with the profile of an improver. I reckon if it won people would look at that and wonder why they dissed it.
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Glad you mentioned Castle Rushen. Nicky Richard’s used to feature in the Jumping Prospects book I buy every year but isn’t in it this year, so I was considering backing it just to cover myself if it ran well.
 
Desert Orchid said:
Ascot 2.05 - The Big Breakaway 28/1, 4 places - his form 'figures' are more akin to picking up a Penguin but I'm just a bit intrigued that Sean Bowen has been drafted in for the ride but the horse is on a ridiculous mark if Charlton can get a tune out of him.
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Fell asleep and missed this race and only just checked the result. He may well have been beaten over 30 lengths but he still got second place so no complaints here!
 
Journey with me John Durkan chase tomorrow.
Beat Appreciate it with ease in a grade 2 last season and the distance and going look ideal.
If fit first time out he looks a huge each way price at 40/1.
Is obviously up against it here ,but the odds look generous for a horse who excels at this distance.
 
Journey with Me in to 16s best. Great shout win or lose - obviously it will be something of a surprise if he figures but stranger things have happened
 
With the Mullins horses out of the King George it has thrown the market into a degree of chaos with possible supplementary entries now catching the attention.

On the Hennessy thread I mentioned last night that I'd backed General En Chef and it is also entered for the King George and available at 66/1 so in for a penny and all that.

I'm not saying it can/will win and I'm half-expecting it won't even run but if its French rating is correct it shouldn't be 66/1.

The current top-rated on ORs is L'Homme Presse (169) and that's a pretty modest rating for a potential King George winner. Royale Pagaille (166) is around 10s/12s and GEC's French rating translates to just a pound or two behind that.
 
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