I've had a little interest in the Cleeve on the Irish raider Ex patriot 33/1 in the Cleeve. I'm not quite sure what to expect from it on its first try at the trip but the bet is more based on the opposition. Ex patriot at least seems at home under testing conditions and just the mere fact they've bothered to send it over says they must think something of it. Some of these won't be so at home in testing conditions and others like Wholestone and The Worlds end I've never been convinced that they see out the trip at this level. Agrapart was one I considered at first because I'd saw him coming late and fast against Wholestone over a shorter trip at Cheltenham last time. Though he has been soundly beaten at 3 mile trips on the 2 occasions at which he's tried it. Which made me think was he flattered by his late progress last time and was it just a case that Wholestone himself was stopping.
I could here cases for Finians Oscar, Colins sister and Beer Goggles but at the prices they make little appeal and I'd rather take a chance on the could be anything type from Ireland although it will only be as they say for a couple of bhat.
The other race I was looking at was the Cotswolds having already taken an interest earlier in the week on the Last Samuri e/w as I was expecting the field to cut up down to 2 places but still 8 runners atm. With a decent position held I was looking for a bit of a saver and come up a bit short. Completely unconvinced with Bristol de mai whether he's ulcerated at Christmas or whatever plain and simple until he produces something away from Haydock I can't really take him seriously at a short price. Tea for Two has the quality I think but has never really done much on the course and only a month on from running a big one in the KG will it fancy the slog ? I doubt it.Another one who hasn't run well on his visits here is Definitely red. I'm not quite sure what to make of him he was awful in the Charlie Hall where the trainer blamed the soft ground (and why not it doesn't talk back) before hacking up at Aintree on utterly abysmal ground so make of that what you will. I think that win ode more to the fact that Cloudy dream didn't get home one bit after travelling like a monster all the way around. The other 2 behind have achieved the square route of zilch this season. SFP is lowly rated I still think he's got some in hand over this CD although I don't think he'll be suited by really testing conditions. I'm hoping he doesn't screw up his handicap mark as I'm on Ante-post for the Ultima so maybe I'm biased. American still has a lot of questions to answer and this race is practically first time out after pulling up in the Hennessey not exactly ideal for this slog you'd want to be race fit.
Which leaves me 2 horses 33/1 (possibly bigger in the morning ) In the shape of Theatre guide and Perfect Candidate. At this point I call to the Mrs ask her to gaze into my ear to see If I've lost my mind. In Theatre guides last 2 runs he's come 3rd in the Whitbread and 3rd in the Badger Ales from top weight in those competitive handicaps and has since had a wind op. He has some sort of form around Chetenham when he and Perfect Candidate locked horns finishing 1st and 2nd with a nose separating them. Perfect Candidate just held off the late charge of Vicente here earlier in the season over 3m3f so he's a pretty resolute stayer. He dissapointed at Sandown next time but is tried here in first time blinkers.
They are both now a bigger price than SFP both are superior on OR's and both seemingly more able to adapt to testing conditions and both resolute stayers. There are worse claims at lesser prices. you could back both e/w and still make a profit if just one snares a place. Personally though I may just play the combis with the Samuri.
I could here cases for Finians Oscar, Colins sister and Beer Goggles but at the prices they make little appeal and I'd rather take a chance on the could be anything type from Ireland although it will only be as they say for a couple of bhat.
The other race I was looking at was the Cotswolds having already taken an interest earlier in the week on the Last Samuri e/w as I was expecting the field to cut up down to 2 places but still 8 runners atm. With a decent position held I was looking for a bit of a saver and come up a bit short. Completely unconvinced with Bristol de mai whether he's ulcerated at Christmas or whatever plain and simple until he produces something away from Haydock I can't really take him seriously at a short price. Tea for Two has the quality I think but has never really done much on the course and only a month on from running a big one in the KG will it fancy the slog ? I doubt it.Another one who hasn't run well on his visits here is Definitely red. I'm not quite sure what to make of him he was awful in the Charlie Hall where the trainer blamed the soft ground (and why not it doesn't talk back) before hacking up at Aintree on utterly abysmal ground so make of that what you will. I think that win ode more to the fact that Cloudy dream didn't get home one bit after travelling like a monster all the way around. The other 2 behind have achieved the square route of zilch this season. SFP is lowly rated I still think he's got some in hand over this CD although I don't think he'll be suited by really testing conditions. I'm hoping he doesn't screw up his handicap mark as I'm on Ante-post for the Ultima so maybe I'm biased. American still has a lot of questions to answer and this race is practically first time out after pulling up in the Hennessey not exactly ideal for this slog you'd want to be race fit.
Which leaves me 2 horses 33/1 (possibly bigger in the morning ) In the shape of Theatre guide and Perfect Candidate. At this point I call to the Mrs ask her to gaze into my ear to see If I've lost my mind. In Theatre guides last 2 runs he's come 3rd in the Whitbread and 3rd in the Badger Ales from top weight in those competitive handicaps and has since had a wind op. He has some sort of form around Chetenham when he and Perfect Candidate locked horns finishing 1st and 2nd with a nose separating them. Perfect Candidate just held off the late charge of Vicente here earlier in the season over 3m3f so he's a pretty resolute stayer. He dissapointed at Sandown next time but is tried here in first time blinkers.
They are both now a bigger price than SFP both are superior on OR's and both seemingly more able to adapt to testing conditions and both resolute stayers. There are worse claims at lesser prices. you could back both e/w and still make a profit if just one snares a place. Personally though I may just play the combis with the Samuri.
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