What are you backing Today?

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Just want to ask where do you guys think you want to be drawn in the real betting race on Saturday, The Old Newton Cup at Haydock?

Dreamspeed has a high draw. Balding is a deadly trainer on his day and fired in more winners than I've had hot breakfasts lately.

High is strangely favoured over 8f.

As they've got even further to sort themselves out I would say there is no bias to worry about.
 
Inishmot Duchess is 11lb better off with Man of Erin the favourite in the 7:30 at Leopardstown from their Fairyhouse run and thats before Colin Keane takes off a further 7lb. Her dam was a Leopardstown specialist having won there on three or four occasions and she herself ran very well there first time back this year before tiring late. Her only win was on slightly better ground over 6F at Cork but hopefully with a little bit of drying today it won't inconvenience her too much. A certain agent has made numerous calls to secure the ride for a prominent jockey who has ridden her recently but connections have decided to claim instead. With any luck in running she will surely make the three and at 9/1 is a proper EW bet.

Im told Bolgers is fancied in this race tonight ground slight concern
got a bad ride at Dundalk LTO
 
My first effort of the day and I'm going for the outsider to win the 4:50 Haydock - Elbow Reach - not a lot to go on as she's done all her racing in the French Provinces but her times are comparitively good. Her full brother Fabreze won at the track last year off 80 and the trainer is in profit at the track with 3wins from 18 runners - only changed hands a week ago and could be anything or nothing but worth a small punt at the price - imo.

Stuck her in a combo f/c with the two Mrs K Burke runners as well as she's had two easy winners there today.
 
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The QR Maiden at Leopardstown is one of the better races on an otherwise mediocre looking card (three handicaps in a row, one 50-80, the other two 50-75).

Oilily at around 7/1 seems a fair price to take it.

Dare To Doubt is a near even money favourite and Miss United, backed already today from 5/1 in to 3/1 is also fancied. Luska Lad is both a better bumper horse and hurdler than either of these but he hasn't run to near his best for well over a year and in any case might have bigger targets in mind.

The favourite's best form has all been on testing ground and her damsire is Karinga Bay, whose progeny do best in the mud. The latest report from the track is that the ground is now good to soft, good in places whereas this morning it was good to soft, soft in places. It might have dried out another piece by the time of the last race tonight.

Miss United hasn't won yet on a good surface but it shouldn't be a problem. She is an improving horse but on the other hand her best bumper and hurdle form is still behind that of Oilily and so too is Dare To Doubt's. Oilily's last run on unsuitably heavy ground can be ignored and prior to that she has been in decent form over hurdles. She has a touch of class and might show it tonight.
 
I have Missunited in an ew dbl with Naoise,
both are well fancied might save on Oilily yet as her form was mentioned to me earlier today.
Now that you have mentioned it

Its time to sit up and listen
 
Really don't think we've seen the best of No Compromise who runs in the 8:00 at Newbury.

I don't think the two runs so far this season, ( last one dissapointing ) have told us anything about her true ability or reflected her true ability in any way shape or form.

Today will be her day with the first time blinkers on.
 
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Chocolate Hills in the first. Good opportunity for her at the weights. She's improving. Hoping When Not Iff will need it tonight.
 
Heard Alex Steedman after No Comromise's 4th saying there's no excuses and thats how good she is, and for a second I thought he was talking/addressing me.

Then I realised, I'd be mad to think that.:p
 
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Well done Grey.

Unable to watch race so got a bit worried when I saw its final trading price of 2.02.
 
Not easy this week ,had intended Bookem Danno to win the beginners chase at MR on Sunday but he stepped out slightly lame this morning,must have rolled in his box or something. Shouldn`t be to bad. Guess its NA on Monday now.
 
Interesting that they're not campaigning Lujeanie in the first at Sandown as majestically as they used to, may have changed trainers, I'd need to check that.

The horse has a good draw though, still on a fair mark and Fortune looks like an interesting booking. This horse has won for jockeys riding it for the first time before.

A tentative selection but a selection all the same.
 
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I had a look at that race Marble, but I'm in the dark about the weather at Sandown, so will wait until the off.

Interesting to see Milton's team pick up a few northern trained runners from Dab Hand racing and two entries in this. I always feel some of the stables horses go off a decent prices.

I've had a small bet on Rowe Park @ 34.0 and going to follow up with a couple of tenners @ 42 & 60.0 in running, to trade down at the death.

Trainer without a flat winner in two years and horse looks in decline, but this could be run to suit if have retains any of his old ability and runs in this grade for the 1st time in 5 years. He comes into the race on 6lb lower mark (inc. 3lb claim), than last run which was not a total disaster.

The in running angle is simply based on the chance of him being slowly away, which from stall 1 is likely to see him stone last.
 
Interesting to see Milton's team pick up a few northern trained runners from Dab Hand racing and two entries in this. I always feel some of the stables horses go off a decent prices.

Market support late on for Jarrow from 12/1 into 6/1, was bang on.
 
Tried to get a frantic bet on Irish but tried Betfair Beta for the first and last time. Beta certainly does not count for better IMO; bet was left in suspended cyber-space, clueless whether matched or not.

As always when they win; not.
 
It looks like the trainer gambled on the wet weather for Rosairlie in the 5.05 and the the fact they have got Fallon on this looks ideal,as he may get outpaced 4f out.

I can't think of many Hammond horses making the trip south.

7.2 in this reduced field size seems fair even off his new mark
 
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