What are you backing Today?

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held up in a slow run race..what can you do?

i'm taking this fav on in the 6.20..i don't see much between the fav and Forceful Flame..FF is better drawn which gives it the edge and the odds are very generous at 4.8..win bet
 
Seb was ultra confident there.

You won't believe this but when I last stated I was avoiding staying h/caps, I said Williams wins them all :mad:

I think you get a wider variety of pace, the further the trip, which only leads to forecasting even harder.

Lazer Blazer with a decent pace would be worth watching, but I don't bet in these races anymore ;)
 
one from my horses to follow list runs tomorrow in the 4.20 Wolverhampton

Chambles

Was slow away from a poor draw in a slow run race last time...3 negatives which usually result in a back 3 finish..but Chambles managed to pass favoured pace horses and finish just 3 lengths behind the winner....a big effort

Decent draw tomorrow and is on a winning mark...8/1 ish
 
Simpson Jersey said:
What on earth was that, diabolical!
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Thats three slowly run races back to back it's run in,hard to tell if it's a bit of a dodgepot or just needs a decent pace.I'd give it one chance in a guaranteed race run at at a true pace as it has travelled really well in two of those races and looked a likely winner.
 
one from my horses to follow list runs tomorrow in the 4.20 Wolverhampton

Chambles

Was slow away from a poor draw in a slow run race last time...3 negatives which usually result in a back 3 finish..but Chambles managed to pass favoured pace horses and finish just 3 lengths behind the winner....a big effort

Decent draw tomorrow and is on a winning mark...8/1 ish
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Iv'e backed this myself EC, but another horse came up on my reminder service;

For Shia And Lula

Last two runs have been over 5f, with last being hampered. This looks more suitable and down another 2lb. My gut tells me this will be a sighter for another run in next 14 days, with Kelly on board, but I could be totally certain.

I assumed that McCabe had given Levey a few winners, so was surprised when I saw he was 0/21.

Drifting on betfair, so I will have another win bet and hope for the 1-2.
 
I've just got to tell someone this...

Narrowed the first down to Parsons Punch and Overpriced. Stuck 20 on PP, but then got caught with a work call and didn't get to do the exacta (would have gone 10 ew)

Listening on the radio, jump the last the two of them are clear and I've got head in hands in despair :-)

Overpriced unseats ON THE RUN IN How sick would I have been :-)
 
chaumi said:
I've just got to tell someone this...

Narrowed the first down to Parsons Punch and Overpriced. Stuck 20 on PP, but then got caught with a work call and didn't get to do the exacta (would have gone 10 ew)

Listening on the radio, jump the last the two of them are clear and I've got head in hands in despair :-)

Overpriced unseats ON THE RUN IN How sick would I have been :-)
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Very sick if true....:whistle:
 
Nora Loobey (5) now rides Chambles in the 4.20
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Has winners for trainer, so I would have to say it's a positive, especially with another 5lb off it's back.

I've now got three runners, as I've backed McMonagle, simply if it gets an esy lead.

I just need to back the other eight in running
 
Last season's efforts don't exactly offer much in the way of encouragement, but Diamond Harry has come down over a stone in the handicap in the last calendar year, and he could easily make a mockery of a Chase mark of only 150 in the Badger Beer at Wincanton today, if he runs anywhere remotely near his best.

FTO is the time to catch him, and Coral's 15/2 is good enough to tempt me in.
 
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Was thinking along similar lines grassy. The race I can't get out of my head with this horse is that fixed brush hurdle race at haydock a couple of seasons ago. First time out and he hacked up without coming off the bridle. Don't know what went wrong last season but at 15-2 you're compensated for the risk I think.
 
What went wrong is taking him to Cheltenham. Twice.

Mrs Williams says he kicked himself during the week which tempers confidence.

I managed to get 4/1 about Balder Success in the Elite. Zarkandar off of 163 doesn't appeal, especially in this sort of race which could be slowly run. Prospect Wells I'm not sure of on a soft surface. He ran poorly in similar conditions behind Captain Conan in the Tolworth. The selection looks a proper mud lark and found everything happening too quicky at the Festival.
 
Donny 11.50 Pelminism win @ 25/1
Ellijah Pepper 1 pt saver @ 20/1

The market will no doubt inform us of Pelminism's chances, which at the moment seem remote judging by the betfair drift, now out to 32.0.

I also think there are a few contenders who really want cut in the ground, so a lot depends on how much of the over night rain has effected the ground. Unfortunately it's the 1st race, so will just hope it's decent good ground.

Having backed the fav, Desert Creek lto, the 9lb rise looks fair, but there was a bias towards low drawn horses that day and I'm happy to take him on. Pelminism also ran in that race, finishing a poor 17 lths behind, but had the poor draw that day and he gets 11lb today ( not including jock's allowances). This 7f is the limit to stamina, hence the concern regarding the over night rain.

If the ground does ride on the slow side, it may well help Ellijah Pepper, who really wants further. He's a claiming off cast from the Barron stable, who looks to have been purchased for a winter a/w campaign. However, he looks on a winning turf mark based on his last run at this track over 8f. The form of that race may be worthless, being a retired jocks race, but he's in decent order having won his last race.
 
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Hard to make a bomb proof form case for Mic's Delight in the Badger Ales but Victor Dartnell has knocked in a couple of winners the last few days, and I fancy this is a shrewd piece of placement by his handler , if the horse can just step it up a notch. If ever there was a time to do that it would be first time up stepped up in grade like today.
 
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Euronymous said:
What went wrong is taking him to Cheltenham. Twice.

Mrs Williams says he kicked himself during the week which tempers confidence.

I managed to get 4/1 about Balder Success in the Elite. Zarkandar off of 163 doesn't appeal, especially in this sort of race which could be slowly run. Prospect Wells I'm not sure of on a soft surface. He ran poorly in similar conditions behind Captain Conan in the Tolworth. The selection looks a proper mud lark and found everything happening too quicky at the Festival.
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Nicholls jockey-bookings for the Elite have me utterly confused. You would have to think there's something significant about Walsh's decision to ride Prospect Wells over Zarkander, yet Prospect Wells isn't one to have a great deal of faith in either. Scratch the other Nicholls yoke by default, and the obvious place to look is Balder Success, but he is another one which fails to inspire confidence, given he's failed to complete the last twice.

Local Hero looks to be about the best value, but it also looks as moody a G2 Hurdle as we'll see all season. I've laid Zarkander, but haven't exactly steamed-in.
 
EC1 said:
one from my horses to follow list runs tomorrow in the 4.20 Wolverhampton

Chambles

Was slow away from a poor draw in a slow run race last time...3 negatives which usually result in a back 3 finish..but Chambles managed to pass favoured pace horses and finish just 3 lengths behind the winner....a big effort

Decent draw tomorrow and is on a winning mark...8/1 ish
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I place laid this yesterday along with a few more just like her - remember that pm I sent you - still working out very well ;)
 
Grasshopper said:
Nicholls jockey-bookings for the Elite have me utterly confused. You would have to think there's something significant about Walsh's decision to ride Prospect Wells over Zarkander, yet Prospect Wells isn't one to have a great deal of faith in either. Scratch the other Nicholls yoke by default, and the obvious place to look is Balder Success, but he is another one which fails to inspire confidence, given he's failed to complete the last twice.
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From what I've read his decision is just weight based but he plainly doesn't rate the horse. He was hardly effusive about him after his win at Newbury. Balder Success shouldn't have run at the Fesival on good ground.
 
Baby Mix is my main fancy for the race but I see Escort'men has been blue all morning at oddschecker despite Nicholls's negative vibes. However, the 66/1 on offer about Topolski looks ridiculously long for a horse of his talent. OK, he had a disastrous - and accordingly limited - season after his impressive Aintree win in the spring of last year and if anywhere near that after his summer break would have to be considered thrown in off 143.
 
Robert Walford has made a cracking start to his training career but not seeing what others clearly do about Aegean Dawn who was impressive off low ratings in a couple of handicaps and was beaten off 145 when last season in 2011 and takes on decent hurdlers here - most notably IMHO the now Harry Fry (though undoubtedly been with him for a good while) trained King Of The Night who was still in with chances on his Chasing debut at Cheltenham last month. KOTN was rated in the 150's over hurdles and with that experience behind him on a track that should suit I've taken some 9/1 E/W for the race and some 13/8 about him beating Aegean Dawn (with Hills).

Martin
 
Irish Stamp said:
Robert Walford has made a cracking start to his training career but not seeing what others clearly do about Aegean Dawn who was impressive off low ratings in a couple of handicaps and was beaten off 145 when last season in 2011 and takes on decent hurdlers here - most notably IMHO the now Harry Fry (though undoubtedly been with him for a good while) trained King Of The Night who was still in with chances on his Chasing debut at Cheltenham last month. KOTN was rated in the 150's over hurdles and with that experience behind him on a track that should suit I've taken some 9/1 E/W for the race and some 13/8 about him beating Aegean Dawn (with Hills).

Martin
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I've gone for him as well. Two of those ahead of him in the betting are coming back from long lay-offs.
 
Good luck Links :)

Pleased that the 13/8 came in but didn't expect it to be in those circumstances.

Anyone who follows the money will be interested in Tom Nagle's Milan Bound in the Naas bumper today - he was backed from 14's into 11/4 for his Galway debut last month but the race wasn't run to suit given the way he was ridden, looks worth a second bite of the cherry at 12's for a trainer who had an impressive winner earlier in the week.

Martin
 
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