What are you backing Today?

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Ricko said:
3.10 - Haydock
Visit Copenhagen. 2 pts win. Available at 9/1.
Madame Elizabeth. 1 pt win. Available at 18/1.
A three year old Fillies Handicap in which it may be worth taking on the market leaders, Azenzar and Drahem. They are both open to improvement but they will have to if they are to take this and there some viable alternatives. Two of them are the only horses in this field to have run at this track, Visit Copenhagen and Madame Elizabeth. Visit Copenhagen is a six raced maiden but she has run up a consistent sequence this season She was third of five in an all age handicap against her own sex and was beaten just over two lengths by a Filly who has since won a much better race from a six pound higher mark. Prior to that she split two subsequent winners in a field of six at Leicester in June and had Drahem four lengths behind at Yarmouth the following month. She is only two pound worse off today and, although that rival is capable of better, Visit Copenhagen looks worth chancing at three times his rival's price with the yard having a profitable 19% strike rate at this track with their three year olds. Madame Elizabeth is still a maiden after ten starts and finished last of six on her second start of this campaign at Bath, That effort can be overlooked because she was reported lame post race by the vet. She wasn't beaten far in a field of five on her reappearance and that form has been franked by subsequent victories by both the winner and fourth placed horses. She showed some useful for as a Juvenile last season and looks up to winning a race from her current mark.
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Winner and forecast!

I had a small tickle, appreciated!
 
A pleasure to be quoted in your sensational preview of the race, Ricko!
 
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Fantastic call Ricko, superby accurate.:)



CORPORAL MADDOX 4.10 BRIGHTON

With two front runners and a further seven that press the pace this should go the lone closer, Corporal Maddox. Corporal Maddox has run two cracking races in a hood. He has been 6th to Picture Dealer and then third to Picture Dealer. He can be counted a tad unlucky two runs back when he slept in the stalls and ran into a wall of horses and had to be switched. Noverre To Go was just ahead of him but with the brilliant Oisin Murphy’s claim he finds himself 8lbs better off for a couple of cigarette papers. His got to within 3/4l of Picture Dealer last time. Diman Waters and Bop It who were just behind him fought out a finish at Haydock yesterday. Ron Harris has won two of the last five runnings of this race and off a mark 8lbs lower than his last handicap win plus Murphy’s claim he is very well in here and he should pick this lot off.
 
MLMRob said:
Fantastic call Ricko, superby accurate.:)



CORPORAL MADDOX 4.10 BRIGHTON

With two front runners and a further seven that press the pace this should go the lone closer, Corporal Maddox. Corporal Maddox has run two cracking races in a hood. He has been 6th to Picture Dealer and then third to Picture Dealer. He can be counted a tad unlucky two runs back when he slept in the stalls and ran into a wall of horses and had to be switched. Noverre To Go was just ahead of him but with the brilliant Oisin Murphy’s claim he finds himself 8lbs better off for a couple of cigarette papers. His got to within 3/4l of Picture Dealer last time. Diman Waters and Bop It who were just behind him fought out a finish at Haydock yesterday. Ron Harris has won two of the last five runnings of this race and off a mark 8lbs lower than his last handicap win plus Murphy’s claim he is very well in here and he should pick this lot off.
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Another one we agree on today.

4.10 - Brighton
Corporal Maddox. 2 pts win. Available at 13/2.
Langley Vale. 2 pts win. Available at 7/1.
A decent sprint handicap and one in which Lionheart goes for his third turf win in a row. He carries a six pound penalty for an easy win at Yarmouth ten days ago and, on that evidence, he would seem the one very much to beat. However he may have been slightly flattered in that small field with the favourite running no sort of race (unseated on the way to the start and lost five lengths at stalls opening). There are some viable alternatives and top of that list are Corporal Maddox and Langley Vale. Corporal Maddox is 13 pounds lower in the handicap than he was this time last year and, by going less than a length in a big field at York last time out, he dropped a big hint that his turn may be near. His last outing have come over six furlongs and they are the first time he has been seen over that trip since October 2011. It's likely he will need a decent pace to be seen at his best but, if he gets it, he will be a danger to all for a yard who have won this twice in the past five years. The booking of a talented and in form seven pound claimer enhances his chances. Langley Vale seems to revel on tracks like Lingfield, Epsom and Brighton. If you take out his starts on other tracks his profile is one of an improving horse who is still very feasibly handicapped. He seems versatile regarding ground conditions and after just twelve starts (seven on the three courses stated) he may still be open to a bit of improvement.
 
Ustura (3.15) ran a blinder in a much better race than this at the Royal meeting, and was beaten by lack of pace in his subsequent run at Kempton.
No such problem envisaged today and, at the current 5/1, would be the bet of the day in my book.
 
Shergar Cup day @ Ascot is a great meeting for having a bash @ the PlacePot.
All h/caps with 10 runners in each leg.
Here's my effort.

12.55 (3)Famous Poet (6)Nine Realms
1.30 (3)Highland Castle (7)Homeric
2.05 (8)Ahtoug (9)Pandar
2.40 (5)Wadi Al Hattawi (6)Chesterfield
3.15 (3)Ustura (5)Star Lahib
3.50 (1)Annunciation (7)Noble Deed

64 lines @ ?
 
Vulgaris Magistralis said:
Shergar Cup day @ Ascot is a great meeting for having a bash @ the PlacePot.
All h/caps with 10 runners in each leg.
Here's my effort.

12.55 (3)Famous Poet (6)Nine Realms
1.30 (3)Highland Castle (7)Homeric
2.05 (8)Ahtoug (9)Pandar
2.40 (5)Wadi Al Hattawi (6)Chesterfield
3.15 (3)Ustura (5)Star Lahib
3.50 (1)Annunciation (7)Noble Deed

64 lines @ ?
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Very unlucky, VM. Not far off the jackpot never mind the placepot!
 
MINORITY INTEREST 8.05 NOTTINGHAM

Minority Interest ran well enough in a 0-70 last time to suggest this 0-60 is within his compass. He has been transformed by headgear and has wins in a first time visor and first time blinkers two runs back. In fact his record over 10f in headgear reads, 113, from just 3 races. The form of his third to Shahrazad didn’t look much at the time but the winner has since finished second off 6lbs higher. He beat previous winner Certavi before that and that horse has franked the form by winning again off 4lbs higher. He has a top apprentice booked and is the only front runner in the race. He might take a bit of pegging back.

Lightning Strike is 0-4 over 10f and both her turf wins have come at Brighton. She has raced exclusively at Brighton or on the all weather for the last 12 months. She is 4lbs higher than her last win and she is 0-5 off marks 54-56. Inexperienced jockey as well.

Market Puzzle has placed four times on eight visits to Colwick Park but he is on a losing run of 22 stretching back two years. He run quite well in a 0-55 last time. Noel Garbutt gets on well with him and he should run well without winning.

Action Front won on his racecourse debut back in May 2011 and the closest he has come to repeating the feat was a short head second at Newmarket last month over 8f. He was third to Enriching last time over 8f here. However, he has found 10f stretching him a bit, not placed in two runs, and he can be passed over.

Miss Blink is 11lbs lower than her last win back in 2011. She is 3-9 in class 6 and 4-12 over 10f. 3-6 when those two criteria are combined. So she must hold a major chance off 59 tonight. All four of her wins have come within a month of her latest race. Her yard are very quiet, 0-42 over the last 3 months.

Archelao won a 0-55 last time off 51 and has had a break. He is yet to win on turf, 0-2, but more worrying is that he is 0-11 when returning after a break of a fortnight or more with just one place.

Daniel Thomas is 1-29 on turf with the win back in 2008.

Lea Valley is a 9 race maiden and comes from a yard that is 1-33 since June.

Flash Crash is 0-7 on the flat with just one place.

Iguacu is 2lbs lower than his win at Bath last year. He tends to pick up a race a year and he does have conditions to suit. However, he is 0-13 when returning after a break of a month or more.

Royal Alcor showed nothing on his debut for Gay Kelleway the other day and races off the same mark tonight. He is 0-4 on turf with both his wins coming at Wolverhampton. He is till 3lbs higher than the last win.

Lady Tycoon is a 10 race maiden who has placed once on the all weather.

Excellent News has never placed in 9 races on the flat.

Conclusion: This is not as competitive as the numbers would suggest. Oisin Murphy is a top booking for Minority Interest especially as he has ridden for Tony Forbes a few times, saddles Excellent News. There is no pace and Minority Interest should get his own way up front. He has shown tenacity recently so it will take a good one to pass him. Miss Blink would be a massive danger if Robin Bastiman had been in better form but she should run well.
 
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