tiggers1972
Senior Jockey
Hope you're right, done them all in a Yankee with Monalee tomorrow!
What are you backing Today?
- Thread starter On The Bridle
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Hope you're right, done them all in a Yankee with Monalee tomorrow!
Wanna mention one more....Forth Bridge in Musselburghs hurdle at 2:05. A serial course winner who is being backed today, as if he might be the each way value at 10/1 in a five runner race.
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Oh all 4 mate.... never in doubt haha. I forgot about adding that other "M" to my little nursery rhyme
Cheers Danny yeah my strike rate has improved just see if I can keep it going. I'll always back my fair share of losers but if I can land some more winners I'm happy.
Overall I thought today looked hard to get any strong angles against the market.
My main two are Patrick's Park and Forth Bridge both each way. Vino has drifted to 25's and I'm not as confident as when I posted last night. In fact I'll swap him out (haven't placed my bet yet) with Yala Enki who I've backed the last twice. I'd be gutted were Yala Enki to win when I'm not on!
Good luck with your selections today everyone.
Overall I thought today looked hard to get any strong angles against the market.
My main two are Patrick's Park and Forth Bridge both each way. Vino has drifted to 25's and I'm not as confident as when I posted last night. In fact I'll swap him out (haven't placed my bet yet) with Yala Enki who I've backed the last twice. I'd be gutted were Yala Enki to win when I'm not on!
Good luck with your selections today everyone.
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One bookie actually went 16's this morning, on a winner that started 6's. Great result! Best bet tomorrow is Nick Williams PERUVIAN BLEU in Tauntons 2:50. Consistent sort who has shown ability in limited hurdle career. The two from the bigger stables of Paul Nicholls and Dan Skelton will be well-fancied you would have thought, but Peruvian Bleu should be forgiven for one poor run last time. He's the one (sound like Robbie Williams haha). I hope Euro reads this as well!
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One other thing...PHIL'S MAGIC is a crazy price in the first big handicap at Leopardstown tomorrow. They all have Total Recall to beat and he's 5/4, but people who understand betting will know how much value there is in the prices of the others. There's every chance Tony Martin, (a man who knows how to smash eggs to make a good omeleete), has laid this horse out to run a place at least. Lets use our brains eh and back Phil's Magic at 25's each way..
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Newcastle 2:45 Gold Opera 20/1 each way
The Young Master is out at Newcastle tomorrow. The fact they turned down the option of running him in the big Chase at Doncaster last week and run him here instead tells me that he's probably losing his form quite badly. Hence I don't see the drop down in class necessarily as a good thing, It may just tell us he's not at his best. The one who I can't believe the price of is Gold Opera who is rank outsider at 20/1 on the early betting. This is a two-time course winner, that's won in February in 2016 and 2017, so he does well this time of year. He also runs the odd stinker, but a mark of 123 is really quite fair in my opinion. I need him in the first two.
The Young Master is out at Newcastle tomorrow. The fact they turned down the option of running him in the big Chase at Doncaster last week and run him here instead tells me that he's probably losing his form quite badly. Hence I don't see the drop down in class necessarily as a good thing, It may just tell us he's not at his best. The one who I can't believe the price of is Gold Opera who is rank outsider at 20/1 on the early betting. This is a two-time course winner, that's won in February in 2016 and 2017, so he does well this time of year. He also runs the odd stinker, but a mark of 123 is really quite fair in my opinion. I need him in the first two.
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I didn't land a blow with Gold Opera but (sadly) I was right about The Young Master who's in decline now.
I think there's a good win and place bet tomorrow at Southwell.
3:05 BOGART. A class horse back in the day. He tended to either win back then or finish nowhere. Some of his best performances were in handicaps. Kevin Ryan knows this horse inside out, he's always won races with him when he was willing and ready to win, so I reckon after a recent wind operation, a three month break, he's definitely worth chancing at the respective odds on what is his all weather debut. A mark of 79 is so exploitable and nine runners is perfect for each way purposes. Take nothing away from the favorite who's in form so will be a tough nut to crack, but Bogart is the bet.
Bogart Win and Place 12/1
I think there's a good win and place bet tomorrow at Southwell.
3:05 BOGART. A class horse back in the day. He tended to either win back then or finish nowhere. Some of his best performances were in handicaps. Kevin Ryan knows this horse inside out, he's always won races with him when he was willing and ready to win, so I reckon after a recent wind operation, a three month break, he's definitely worth chancing at the respective odds on what is his all weather debut. A mark of 79 is so exploitable and nine runners is perfect for each way purposes. Take nothing away from the favorite who's in form so will be a tough nut to crack, but Bogart is the bet.
Bogart Win and Place 12/1
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2 for today, though the prices are shot to bits, so a double might be in order:
Helen Sherbet(2.30) 5/2best, won a similar race comfortably 2 ago, then stepped up to 1m, she went for home too soon, and was passed by 2 horses proven at the distance. The return to 7f should see her in a better light.
Imo Foolad (3.05) generally, 2/1 won a piece cosier than the margin allows, and should find the 3lb rise well within his compass.
Helen Sherbet(2.30) 5/2best, won a similar race comfortably 2 ago, then stepped up to 1m, she went for home too soon, and was passed by 2 horses proven at the distance. The return to 7f should see her in a better light.
Imo Foolad (3.05) generally, 2/1 won a piece cosier than the margin allows, and should find the 3lb rise well within his compass.
Well done on that winner Reet. I think I will leave the AW to you after today! I fancied the Tom George horse at Market Rasen but read a preview which said you'd need a leap of faith to back him and so I stupidly went off the horse. I should have trusted my own mind, and not diverted to the sand. I found one horse worth the kopeks tomorrow called Tildus Icon in Fairyhouses 2:25. 15/2 cracking price I think in this maiden hurdle.
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Newmarket Warrior (4.55) would have gone close in his latest run over C/D, had he not been checked twice when making his run. 1st & 2nd have been raised 7lb & 2lb respectively, while his mark remains the same.
Looks a solid bet at the current 7/2.
Looks a solid bet at the current 7/2.
Kempton 1:20 CHURCH LEAP - Won first time out in January 2015. Returning from a long absence, but obviously trainer knows how to get him ready.
First time cheekpieces could do the trick....haven't seen prices yet but it's got a good each way chance off 104 in a weak handicap hurdle.
First time cheekpieces could do the trick....haven't seen prices yet but it's got a good each way chance off 104 in a weak handicap hurdle.
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Do you think we aught to make a note of wind op horses? I backed Alfstar last night for that reason; annoyingly took 20/1 and it looks as if it won at 66's.[no didn't win; came 3rd W Hills must have given me best odds]...
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Tanlic
Senior Jockey
You def ought to Moe can make a huge difference to some horses.....Sprinter Sacre had more wind ops than races :0)
Last but not least, Hawatif gets my vote in the 1:10 at Lingfield under Luke Morris. This horse just looks dangerous to underestimate, off what is now an exploitable mark, with course form to boot. I might try an each way lucky 15 on the three above and make a final decision on what to back in The Betfair, (probably be Lalor!). Good luck.
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