What are you backing Today?

Status
Not open for further replies.
I suspect they maybe went a bit fast for the conditions but I liked the way the first two pulled away.

How sad to see such a good animal as Laurina run so far below form.
 
This is one bet I hope I don't win but I've laid Celtic (2/11) away at Hamilton today.

Celtic have struggled in recent seasons on plastic pitches and Hamilton's is probably the dodgiest. They really seem to struggle to get their passing game going there and the home hammer-throwers will be booting everything in sight with the referee likely to be pretty lenient.

On the positive side, Celtic were terrific in spells against Killie recently and Lennon said it was because the home people had worked on improving the surface. Even Jozo Simunovic, who's usually rested on plastic due to a dodgy knee, got through the 90 minutes unscathed (at the time - he missed the next match on grass!)

If Celtic manage to play anywhere near their best it won't be a contest but Hamilton is the venue I dread most, not because of the opposition but because of the pitch.
 
Phew.

That was as uncomfortable as I'd feared it might be.

I was actually trying to take a profit when Celtic equalised but even after that and the home side going down to 10 men they really struggled. The second goal just 12 mins from time was a huge psychological blow to Accies and they collapsed pretty much immediately.

Seven points clear now, with the best goal difference in Europe.
 
Silvestre De Sousa came back from Hong Kong yesterday and has just one booked ride this week;Fox Power 7.00W - for his retainer.
Have taken the hint, and the 7/1 with B365.
 
I've taken another pop at the SPFL this evening.

I did look closely at the M'well-Celtic game because Stephen Robinson is doing such a good job with the Fir Park side and they always give Celtic a game, especially at home. In the end, though, Celtic have picked up a lot of momentum since the winter break and are in a good place psychologically.

I'm not convinced the same can be said of their Glasgow rivals. They've shipped five points in their last two games and maybe Hibs will be smelling blood at Ibrox. They've responded positively to the arrival of Jack Ross as manager and will have every reason to fancy taking something back along the M8.

The home side finished last year on a high, celebrating what was in my opinion a somewhat undeserved win again Celtic (who had more possession, more chances, more attempts on and off target, and more dodgy refereeing decisions against them) as if they'd won the league. They went straight into the winter break after that but whereas Celtic have taken stock, experimented with new formations and personnel and arguably strengthened in the wake of the defeat, the Ibrox outfit appear to have donned the dangerous cloak of misplaced invincibility.

I'm also hearing the Gerrard no longer 'has' the dressing room, having made negative comments in the media about his players. They've never rated him as a coach anyway, I gather, and his assistant is the one with the tactical genius. What I've heard about him makes me wish Celtic made a quiet move for him!

So, all in all, I think Hibs could give them a game tonight. The chances are, as the odds suggest, that they'll leave with nothing but laying the home side at around 2/11 strikes me as a fair value bet.
 
6.00 Dundalk-Fit For Function

Each Way @ 9-1 [Bet Victor] 4 Places

Last run suggested going back up in trip would be a positive
 
I think the Denman Chase could be the highlight of the day.

There are all sorts of big noises emanating from the yard about the well-being of Native River and the betting suggests this should be no more than a lap of honour for him.

It has pained me to see Might Bite struggle since he was outstayed by Native River in the Gold Cup then win at Aintree. His RSA win was a monstrous performance. If you can find it, try and watch Ruby Walsh talking about it.

Today, I wouldn't be in the least surprised if Altior lost and Might Bite won. I wouldn't put it past Hendo to use Altior to deflect attention away from landing a coup with Might Bite.

Obviously I want to see Altior win. I want to see Altior go off prominently and leave his field for dead but I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't happen. He won't be carrying my money at long odds on but at 7/1 Might Bite will certainly be saddled with the considerable extra weight of my money.

The real Might Bite would toy with the real Native River.
 
I’d like to see it too, but unfortunately I think Native River broke Might Bite in that Gold Cup, and he’ll never dig that deep again. Since then every time he’s been put under pressure he’s folded. The problem looks mental rather than physical.
 
Kuwait Currency 2.20L hit the front too soon off a strong pace over c/d latest, and was ultimately beatn by 2 from further back.
Has the better pace judge booked today and that should ensure him home and dry.
4/1 best.
 
Maruco said:
I’d like to see it too, but unfortunately I think Native River broke Might Bite in that Gold Cup, and he’ll never dig that deep again. Since then every time he’s been put under pressure he’s folded. The problem looks mental rather than physical.
Click to expand...

Have Might Bite as unlikely to stay this stiff 3m, particularly with Native River forcing the pace. However, NR's no good thing on this ground and I'd look outside those 2 for the winner.
 
I am with DO on Might Bite. A fair price on a very good horse on his day.

I have also taken Altior on with Kalashnikov.
 
Last edited:
Desert Orchid said:
I think the Denman Chase could be the highlight of the day.

There are all sorts of big noises emanating from the yard about the well-being of Native River and the betting suggests this should be no more than a lap of honour for him.

It has pained me to see Might Bite struggle since he was outstayed by Native River in the Gold Cup then win at Aintree. His RSA win was a monstrous performance. If you can find it, try and watch Ruby Walsh talking about it.

Today, I wouldn't be in the least surprised if Altior lost and Might Bite won. I wouldn't put it past Hendo to use Altior to deflect attention away from landing a coup with Might Bite.

Obviously I want to see Altior win. I want to see Altior go off prominently and leave his field for dead but I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't happen. He won't be carrying my money at long odds on but at 7/1 Might Bite will certainly be saddled with the considerable extra weight of my money.

The real Might Bite would toy with the real Native River.
Click to expand...

I look forward to hearing Hendo talk about Might Bite. I might be in a minority of one, farting against thunder, etc, but I thought NdB looked after the horse today. I think today was all about getting a completed race out of him without stressing him too much. I hoped for more but as soon as I saw him anchored out wide I took the view that today was a step to a destination rather than the destination itself.

I can't see MB going to Cheltenham but I wouldn't give up hope on him returning to form in the Bowl at Aintree.
 
Desert Orchid said:
I look forward to hearing Hendo talk about Might Bite. I might be in a minority of one, farting against thunder, etc, but I thought NdB looked after the horse today. I think today was all about getting a completed race out of him without stressing him too much. I hoped for more but as soon as I saw him anchored out wide I took the view that today was a step to a destination rather than the destination itself.

I can't see MB going to Cheltenham but I wouldn't give up hope on him returning to form in the Bowl at Aintree.
Click to expand...

Nico saving a horse? Never! :lol:

Not reckon they’d go to the Ultima with him? It crossed my mind.
 
Desert Orchid said:
I look forward to hearing Hendo talk about Might Bite. I might be in a minority of one, farting against thunder, etc, but I thought NdB looked after the horse today. I think today was all about getting a completed race out of him without stressing him too much. I hoped for more but as soon as I saw him anchored out wide I took the view that today was a step to a destination rather than the destination itself.

I can't see MB going to Cheltenham but I wouldn't give up hope on him returning to form in the Bowl at Aintree.
Click to expand...

I picked up this interesting snippet at one of the GN build-up sites.

Hendo on Might Bite:

[FONT=&quot]There have been a lot of people calling for him to be retired, but we rode him differently on Saturday, out on his own and he really enjoyed it and jumped great.
[/FONT]
Click to expand...

The Might Bite we saw win the RSA went out in front at a fast pace and then quickened away at the top of the hill. Even after he decided to go and collect his winnings from the bookies after the last he still rallied to deny Whisper. I think if they let him loose on the lead he could get back to his best. I'd want at least to see them give him that chance.
 
Cosmelli 3.25S is different class to these and, with the fav to tow him along, looks a rock solid bet today. 3's gnerallly.
 
I've been going close with my football bets lately so I'm going to persevere again today.

No prizes for guessing: I'm laying the beleaguered Ibrox club again today at approx 2/9. I thought they would cope with Killie during the week with John Beaton (allegedly pictured celebrating with fellow Ibrox fans in his local bar after he reffed their win against Celtic last January and subsequently lauded by the fans with a stadium banner) in charge but despite taking the lead in a dull first half the players appeared to think they'd done enough and allowed Killie to go at them in the second half, resulting in the home side turning the game round. Once again, Gerrard panned his players in the post-match interview but did admit the buck stopped with him.

He might find Livi more stubborn than usual today but I would still expect his side to win. Recent matches have shown they struggle to find a way past parked buses and I imagine Livi will aim to frustrate them as much as possible prior to trying to steal one on the counter, which they did to Celtic earlier in the season. But the home side should still be good enough to win. I'm just not sure 1/5 or thereabouts accurately reflects that possibility.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top