I'm concentrating on two of the moderate races today.
Dilemma for me was whether take the early odds, or put in in running requests @ double figures, as both horses look certain to be last over these two 5f races.
I've had a fair lump Captain Scooby in the 3.35, where he looks to have perfect conditions here, with my only real reservation being the jockey. His strike rate is poor and he really will have to be brave inside the distance and decide whether to come wide or take the far rail.
I initially thought he ran badly last time, finishing 3rd @ 9/4 fav, but the winner has won again off 7lb higher, next time out @ 50/1 and the 2nd won next race @ 5/1, off same mark. CS comes here 1lb higher but the stiffer finish should really help and he looks one of the few hold ups in the field.
Averaged 7/1 with the n/r's and decided to play this one early, simply in case the race cuts up further.
A smaller bet for me is Heartsong in the 5.40, but I'm waiting later before staking, probably with a 50/50 split pre race and in running.
She is small, so it may simply be a case that her two wins in April were a case that she has not developed as much as other opponents.
However, the fact that she is the outsider of 6 runners and looks to finally have her ideal conditions since her last win, makes her worth a punt.
Raised 15lb for that win, she has now come down 7lb for a string of poor runs, but you could argue she wasn't suited to any of those runs.
Unless the race cuts up further, she's worth some in running cash, as it will be no surprise if she is slowly away.